{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-10000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above -10000 jobs be added in May 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":90,"bestBid":86,"bestAsk":90,"spread":4,"volume":2147.49,"volume24h":5,"openInterest":1996.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-05T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":11,"iyYes":527.5089191331925,"iyNo":19905.38758116883,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0465,"cvr":null,"overround":8.78,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1914,"askDepthUsd":15403,"volume24h":5},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T06:22:59.220Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-50000","connectedTitle":"Will above -50000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-25000","connectedTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -25,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T70000","connectedTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 70,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T80000","connectedTitle":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 80,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T100000","connectedTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 100,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T110000","connectedTitle":"Will above 110000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 110,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T125000","connectedTitle":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 125,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T150000","connectedTitle":"Will above 150000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 150,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:25:42.123Z","priceCents":88,"iy":12594.893029675639,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T12:41:30.180Z","priceCents":89,"iy":14068.800048505636,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T17:35:46.735Z","priceCents":90,"iy":15803.146197142447,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T18:30:43.137Z","priceCents":89,"iy":14232.887455693375,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T18:45:38.882Z","priceCents":87,"iy":11778.82297083763,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T20:05:44.991Z","priceCents":88,"iy":12941.38503440829,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T20:55:58.629Z","priceCents":89,"iy":14302.507836990597,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T21:25:44.466Z","priceCents":90,"iy":15925.728414214385,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T22:50:45.928Z","priceCents":86,"iy":10901.122409290436,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T00:10:40.584Z","priceCents":87,"iy":11908.020804817954,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T04:45:39.788Z","priceCents":88,"iy":13171.27579306499,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T05:31:40.659Z","priceCents":90,"iy":16190.241498275018,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T06:15:42.263Z","priceCents":91,"iy":18216.86932008271,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T10:30:40.997Z","priceCents":92,"iy":20901.802609301874,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T12:16:00.138Z","priceCents":93,"iy":24235.522586264768,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T13:00:54.818Z","priceCents":92,"iy":21010.611672840136,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T14:15:40.779Z","priceCents":88,"iy":13433.035564923553,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T22:00:42.565Z","priceCents":90,"iy":16757.63913686681,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:00:40.368Z","priceCents":88,"iy":13683.690336213214,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:30:40.691Z","priceCents":90,"iy":16810.80804462413,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T00:30:40.055Z","priceCents":88,"iy":13727.199685453957,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T01:15:39.934Z","priceCents":90,"iy":16873.844257242657,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T01:45:43.718Z","priceCents":88,"iy":13763.905315301421,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T03:00:44.798Z","priceCents":90,"iy":16937.354988399075,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T05:30:49.982Z","priceCents":88,"iy":13875.92880594436,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T21:31:49.470Z","priceCents":87,"iy":13860.819994849386,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T04:15:47.575Z","priceCents":86,"iy":12928.22958624723,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T12:30:46.711Z","priceCents":87,"iy":14369.623552516665,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T13:16:07.136Z","priceCents":88,"iy":15775.721498595318,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:16:11.302Z","priceCents":89,"iy":17665.740373163957,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:30:37.583Z","priceCents":88,"iy":16021.22862672333,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T21:31:48.915Z","priceCents":87,"iy":14694.65383921258,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T12:30:42.336Z","priceCents":88,"iy":16730.21230493573,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T22:01:16.017Z","priceCents":87,"iy":15655.273394169759,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T12:46:19.566Z","priceCents":88,"iy":17858.73142958812,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T15:31:07.574Z","priceCents":89,"iy":19854.657914359406,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T16:15:47.612Z","priceCents":88,"iy":18033.19185250062,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T20:01:06.438Z","priceCents":89,"iy":20108.8234929989,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:46:38.927Z","priceCents":88,"iy":18317.02365473665,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:45:36.578Z","priceCents":89,"iy":21238.27269458338,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T17:45:22.523Z","priceCents":88,"iy":19424.286405418487,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:16:22.091Z","priceCents":89,"iy":21463.637024360916,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:31:20.295Z","priceCents":88,"iy":19469.49859373485,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T18:00:26.978Z","priceCents":89,"iy":23125.93436320923,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:45:29.572Z","priceCents":88,"iy":21219.808678188256,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:00:34.615Z","priceCents":87,"iy":19575.99220782423,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:30:37.659Z","priceCents":88,"iy":21705.049194507515,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:45:27.019Z","priceCents":86,"iy":18196.257564866555,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:15:35.465Z","priceCents":85,"iy":16871.95801723903,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:15:32.018Z","priceCents":86,"iy":19551.298021824703,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 528%","tight LAS 0.046","16 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 81c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-10000","marketTitle":"Will above -10000 jobs be added in May 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":81},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-50000","reason":"Will above -50000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -50,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-25000","reason":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -25,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T0","reason":"Will above 0 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%20-10000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20May%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}