{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T100000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in May 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 100000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":30,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":29,"spread":1,"volume":24083.4,"volume24h":1670.22,"openInterest":20598.18,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-05T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":11,"iyYes":8332.487824675325,"iyNo":1260.160195707071,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0357,"cvr":null,"overround":8.78,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":5706,"askDepthUsd":1186,"volume24h":1670.22,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T06:23:16.503Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-50000","connectedTitle":"Will above -50000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-25000","connectedTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -25,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-10000","connectedTitle":"Will above -10000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T70000","connectedTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 70,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T80000","connectedTitle":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 80,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T110000","connectedTitle":"Will above 110000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 110,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T125000","connectedTitle":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 125,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T150000","connectedTitle":"Will above 150000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above 150,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:01:10.641Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6033.493279691935,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:31:20.555Z","priceCents":30,"iy":6066.001899335234,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T12:46:39.769Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6388.480766765602,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:00:24.162Z","priceCents":30,"iy":6110.832077682907,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:15:36.498Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6416.922947401784,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T15:00:24.870Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6754.742199146661,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T15:30:23.107Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6440.973689312184,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:00:45.083Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6775.221457961659,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:15:23.267Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6455.397599184948,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:30:39.257Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6785.507725357348,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:45:23.226Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6465.205394698109,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:16:22.091Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6821.509038239904,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:31:20.295Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6500.005016403641,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:01:17.851Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6836.913086913086,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:46:15.373Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6524.683773767323,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:16:16.928Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6862.908954163706,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:02.113Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6539.485471314838,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:46:12.065Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6873.463409530784,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:01:12.798Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6549.5506424448295,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:16:01.853Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6884.050378256041,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:31:14.019Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6559.646844712417,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:46:02.058Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6894.670010808995,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:01:40.522Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6569.774221843644,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T14:00:27.158Z","priceCents":28,"iy":7255.499602438377,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T15:00:26.901Z","priceCents":29,"iy":6929.9782059338695,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T15:30:28.051Z","priceCents":30,"iy":6615.400548909947,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T15:45:31.789Z","priceCents":29,"iy":7532.204059804218,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T16:00:23.503Z","priceCents":28,"iy":7918.429330730014,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:15:30.465Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8421.674789655672,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:30:26.210Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8017.181417711014,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:00:28.962Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8444.736024746293,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:15:36.366Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8038.467185435325,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:30:28.420Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8459.213542361149,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:45:32.874Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8052.950910093768,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:00:27.315Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8474.468457293704,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:15:31.023Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8067.486922566859,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:30:25.019Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8489.778491499068,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:45:44.899Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8082.075506513635,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:00:24.961Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8505.143944254518,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:15:40.641Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8096.018533351406,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:30:25.038Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8520.56511700787,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:45:36.125Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8110.710582193472,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:00:27.711Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8536.042313397213,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:30:23.784Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8132.496565041404,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:45:41.939Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8558.992643988307,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:00:26.372Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8147.3214285714275,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:16:15.500Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8574.609886626567,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:30:26.823Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8162.200439789794,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:45:47.943Z","priceCents":27,"iy":8590.284225729907,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:00:26.574Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8177.1338959002305,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 8332%","tight LAS 0.036","16 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 27c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T100000","marketTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in May 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":27},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-50000","reason":"Will above -50000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -50,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-25000","reason":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -25,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26MAY-T-10000","reason":"Will above -10000 jobs be added in May 2026?: Above -10,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%20100000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20May%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":132}