{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T125000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in October 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 125000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":15,"bestAsk":26,"spread":11,"volume":1024,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":209,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-06T13:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":151,"iyYes":1366.986988839394,"iyNo":42.570529064202574,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.7333,"cvr":null,"overround":5.26,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":11,"bidDepthUsd":1463,"askDepthUsd":3669,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T06:12:33.476Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T-25000","connectedTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above -25,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T100000","connectedTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 100,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T70000","connectedTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 70,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T80000","connectedTitle":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 80,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26OCT"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:38.703Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2490.9648742797126,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:46:04.310Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5199.1833246284605,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:00:23.812Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4123.386468633127,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:45:54.162Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5209.479349409771,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:15:23.090Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4125.692325081948,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T12:46:39.189Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5213.385784596707,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:15:35.770Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4128.762621451705,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:00:32.421Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5220.15839247725,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:01:17.103Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4133.659972938981,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:01.413Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5223.395564883994,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:01:40.522Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4136.742144067189,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:00:43.637Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5227.946837271203,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:45:32.599Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4144.703027695102,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:30:24.402Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5236.384503649329,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:45:30.369Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4145.743663318985,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:00:37.275Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5238.357212906929,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:30.192Z","priceCents":1,"iy":21609.515721991655,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:45:21.320Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10696.962266069366,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T09:15:22.842Z","priceCents":1,"iy":21614.944728908456,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T10:00:47.760Z","priceCents":26,"iy":621.5239186611348,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T13:00:43.917Z","priceCents":1,"iy":22581.552305961755,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T13:30:34.630Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11178.1948637179,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T19:45:29.049Z","priceCents":1,"iy":22621.27595640388,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T12:30:26.845Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1334.0557228948044,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1367%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7","illiquid (LAS 0.73)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T-25000","reason":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above -25,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T0","reason":"Will above 0 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T10000","reason":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in October 2026?: Above 10,00"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%20125000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20October%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":156}