{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T125000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in September 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 125000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":22,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":99,"spread":99,"volume":4234.11,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":14,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-02T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":130,"iyYes":993.4371039511369,"iyNo":79.0308281249754,"cri":3.545,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":4.5,"cvr":null,"overround":6.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":99,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":200,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T06:22:58.831Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T-25000","connectedTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above -25,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T70000","connectedTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 70,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T80000","connectedTitle":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 80,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T100000","connectedTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 100,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26SEP"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:35:32.276Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1447.7580274700438,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:40:19.354Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1730.6892367509602,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T23:00:20.073Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1689.7195028377491,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T16:30:55.381Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1873.9964900489156,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:45:58.373Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1829.320982320308,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:00:24.162Z","priceCents":2,"iy":13453.741245853296,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:30:51.948Z","priceCents":3,"iy":8904.230169508577,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T09:45:21.696Z","priceCents":22,"iy":979.5259465998374,"cri":3.545}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 993%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 4.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T-25000","reason":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above -2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T0","reason":"Will above 0 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T10000","reason":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in September 2026?: Above 10,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%20125000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20September%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":251}