{"ticker":"KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in June 2026?","description":"If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":59,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":62,"spread":6,"volume":1039,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":585,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-30T12:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US military assets pinned in Middle East — largest deployment since 2003. Pacifi","thesisSlug":"china-taiwan-window","thesisPrice":68,"edge":9,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-20T06:05:20.903Z","firstDetectedPrice":59}],"indicators":{"tauDays":63,"iyYes":457.85352792393354,"iyNo":741.6470369676942,"cri":1.273,"ee":6,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.1071,"cvr":null,"overround":1.74,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.619,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":287,"askDepthUsd":362,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65,"sfEdgeCents":9,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:13:23.905Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in June 2026?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPCECORE-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXPCECORE-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in June 2026?: Above 0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPCECORE-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXPCECORE-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in June 2026?: Above 0.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPCECORE-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXPCECORE-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.4% in June 2026?: Above 0.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPCECORE-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXPCECORE-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:45:10.198Z","priceCents":53,"iy":452.9949534793268,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:36:00.230Z","priceCents":54,"iy":478.56485901396695,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T07:55:34.762Z","priceCents":55,"iy":500.1974627592713,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T03:15:37.905Z","priceCents":56,"iy":650.7879501071062,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T10:45:28.491Z","priceCents":55,"iy":665.1524715011573,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:30:43.005Z","priceCents":56,"iy":704.3476582852513,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:16:00.656Z","priceCents":55,"iy":676.7154272577268,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:45:51.830Z","priceCents":56,"iy":704.9034240925232,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T16:00:54.763Z","priceCents":55,"iy":687.9122761929241,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:45:24.358Z","priceCents":56,"iy":717.1456760045303,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T19:15:46.650Z","priceCents":55,"iy":689.3473091417927,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:00:23.703Z","priceCents":56,"iy":720.9632407509306,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:30:24.936Z","priceCents":55,"iy":692.5793102496565,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:00:26.467Z","priceCents":56,"iy":721.4334925851887,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:30:47.596Z","priceCents":55,"iy":695.2778253995468,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:00:49.071Z","priceCents":56,"iy":726.6129456547551,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:22.992Z","priceCents":55,"iy":700.1665402355978,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:38.089Z","priceCents":56,"iy":734.7496315467846,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:15:39.151Z","priceCents":55,"iy":705.704518090819,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:15:25.332Z","priceCents":56,"iy":735.8319941479037,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:00:44.548Z","priceCents":55,"iy":706.9906673710162,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:30:40.289Z","priceCents":56,"iy":736.4502521369308,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.788Z","priceCents":55,"iy":707.9330822507161,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:26.173Z","priceCents":56,"iy":738.0297638304756,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:24.371Z","priceCents":55,"iy":709.2160998237118,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:00:43.846Z","priceCents":56,"iy":738.6399773348829,"cri":1.273}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+9c executable edge (yes)","IY 458%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 53c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.2","marketTitle":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in June 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":53},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.0","reason":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in June 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.1","reason":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in June 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.3","reason":"Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in June 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20rate%20of%20core%20PCE%20inflation%20be%20above%200.2%25%20in%20June%2020","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}