{"ticker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between -0.99% to 0% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":45,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":51,"spread":7,"volume":15610.2,"volume24h":57.6,"openInterest":7698.97,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":767,"iyYes":60.54815871390499,"iyNo":37.37922043052297,"cri":1.273,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1591,"cvr":null,"overround":0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2541,"askDepthUsd":4112,"volume24h":57.6,"observability":"low","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-25T22:38:14.462Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NAN","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population decrease 3% or more during 2025-2027?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2.99-2N","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase between -2.99% and -2% during ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1.99-1N","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase between -1.99% and -1% during ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.01-0.99","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase between 0.01% and 0.99% during","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1-1.99","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase between 1% and 1.99% during 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2-2.99","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase between 2% and 2.99% during 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NA","connectedTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase 3% or more during 2025-2027?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:05:33.391Z","priceCents":28,"iy":119.96516080261621,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:21:19.066Z","priceCents":29,"iy":114.22116284768808,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:41:15.416Z","priceCents":28,"iy":119.96884096952351,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T09:25:38.513Z","priceCents":29,"iy":114.30692664688758,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T09:35:38.817Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.05784705032305,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:25:41.972Z","priceCents":29,"iy":114.32520644269191,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:30:39.234Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.07643221301596,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T15:20:39.227Z","priceCents":29,"iy":114.34290685480764,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T15:25:42.844Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.09517679856233,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:20:45.356Z","priceCents":29,"iy":114.36119816114785,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:25:42.602Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.11438838740673,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T21:20:40.712Z","priceCents":29,"iy":114.37949532050379,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T21:26:05.426Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.13360612377856,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T00:05:58.861Z","priceCents":27,"iy":126.49319652224173,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:40:44.734Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.32766486858917,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:40:34.535Z","priceCents":27,"iy":126.6188152565669,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:45:34.411Z","priceCents":28,"iy":120.42477502379168,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:45:21.437Z","priceCents":27,"iy":126.70074771748448,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:05:35.468Z","priceCents":35,"iy":87.17074443264615,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:10:43.709Z","priceCents":36,"iy":83.4458208718288,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:00:35.951Z","priceCents":37,"iy":79.94690927230475,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:10:40.938Z","priceCents":34,"iy":91.14477611793474,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T20:01:28.033Z","priceCents":35,"iy":87.31536802001501,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:45:47.774Z","priceCents":14,"iy":288.8547878486272,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:05:10.954Z","priceCents":66,"iy":91.28627938042649,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T02:31:18.603Z","priceCents":67,"iy":95.4899944798935,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T02:35:57.214Z","priceCents":66,"iy":91.29851270970802,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:55:16.849Z","priceCents":65,"iy":87.39000048437453,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:05:17.265Z","priceCents":60,"iy":70.58859932879588,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:25:16.192Z","priceCents":57,"iy":62.401862535880305,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:00:21.082Z","priceCents":58,"iy":65.01055277579397,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:45:16.516Z","priceCents":59,"iy":67.7543481238857,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T11:15:55.315Z","priceCents":58,"iy":65.06384032048904,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:30:17.753Z","priceCents":57,"iy":62.58039685988081,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:30:57.632Z","priceCents":56,"iy":60.088429943416934,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:20:30.832Z","priceCents":55,"iy":57.74699280557329,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:40:59.694Z","priceCents":50,"iy":47.25353398176402,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:55:54.870Z","priceCents":49,"iy":49.193522216021904,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:10:25.553Z","priceCents":48,"iy":51.23968727052828,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:35:29.397Z","priceCents":52,"iy":51.265728692904354,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:50:28.376Z","priceCents":53,"iy":53.37850036517848,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:10:23.032Z","priceCents":54,"iy":55.580913035074865,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T10:55:19.441Z","priceCents":53,"iy":53.404680182435584,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:35:19.351Z","priceCents":52,"iy":51.31282982957004,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:40:20.682Z","priceCents":48,"iy":51.326950402481174,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T19:35:20.841Z","priceCents":49,"iy":49.31498139594645,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T22:50:27.568Z","priceCents":50,"iy":47.38942683461998,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:26:00.776Z","priceCents":49,"iy":49.36528547733764,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T21:25:26.600Z","priceCents":45,"iy":58.066743346585284,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T17:35:57.787Z","priceCents":44,"iy":60.532379314605265,"cri":1.273}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["7 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.16)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 41c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N","marketTitle":"Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":41},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NAN","reason":"Will New York City experience population decrease 3% or more"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2.99-2N","reason":"Will New York City experience population increase between -2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1.99-1N","reason":"Will New York City experience population increase between -1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20New%20York%20City%20experience%20population%20increase%20between%20-0","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2671}