{"ticker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PHI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Philippines before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":11,"spread":4,"volume":156.67,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":147.67,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":2043.1121030241304,"iyNo":11.575036772827199,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5714,"cvr":null,"overround":1.93,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2137,"askDepthUsd":1450,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:41:30.374Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PER","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?: Peru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ARG","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ISR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?: Israel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-JOR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Jordan before Jan 1, 2027?: Jordan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-USA","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-SSUD","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027?: South Sudan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-UKR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?: Ukraine","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:05:28.032Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2179.483759002837,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:30:21.263Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7039.620250175153,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:05:32.712Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2730.357958393045,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:40:28.644Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2257.115076686652,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T21:10:14.218Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2754.793579166054,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T17:10:42.890Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2297.359008044439,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:15:22.827Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2030.4935932827714,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2043%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 0.57)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PER","reason":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?: Peru"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-POR","reason":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?: Portug"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-MEX","reason":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?: Mexico"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Pope%20Leo%20XIV%20visit%20Philippines%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":97}