{"ticker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-USA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":6,"spread":2,"volume":48709.88,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":26014.88,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":3691.265269660412,"iyNo":6.408446648715994,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":1.93,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":30433,"askDepthUsd":5982,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:23:58.427Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PER","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?: Peru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ARG","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ISR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?: Israel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-JOR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Jordan before Jan 1, 2027?: Jordan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PHI","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?: Philippines","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-SSUD","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027?: South Sudan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-UKR","connectedTitle":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?: Ukraine","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:10:12.427Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1978.3474548118513,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:05:59.867Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2335.2431824647806,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:10:59.052Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1980.3753524508054,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:05:43.062Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2340.021251839757,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:10:41.448Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1984.4192833291238,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T07:00:34.348Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2340.3851847001156,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:15:37.524Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1987.8439637649624,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:05:38.113Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2344.8189138246585,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:10:36.417Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1988.4879173510726,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T00:05:38.748Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2347.225129743878,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T00:10:38.495Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1990.5284971905662,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T18:05:56.008Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2354.4734996493335,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T18:10:54.311Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1996.6836640159893,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:05:54.596Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2356.8995813772644,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:11:00.742Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1998.7411081192636,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T06:05:54.701Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2359.3306679979587,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T06:10:58.511Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2000.8027967032283,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T12:05:54.969Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2361.766775014696,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T12:10:51.086Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2002.86874291591,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T06:05:35.527Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2369.1053744374153,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T06:11:37.877Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2009.092259623608,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T12:06:21.648Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2371.561719358054,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T12:10:18.024Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2011.1670278808353,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:05:15.294Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2374.0231631592565,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:10:15.611Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2013.2544440464126,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.157Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2376.489721733902,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:15:31.929Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2015.3797012167677,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:05:27.402Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2378.961411040988,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:15:51.456Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2017.4758758739717,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:20:42.086Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2889.258291775508,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:05:42.466Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3651.962930074915,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:10:42.460Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2891.1734787466435,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:10:49.259Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3655.834101920983,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:20:49.480Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2894.274469869914,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:06:24.733Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3659.591178547109,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:11:20.456Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2897.224763647453,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T07:06:14.392Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4931.147778441671,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T09:11:22.373Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3661.564441026242,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:05:36.061Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4935.437149671784,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:15:44.549Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3663.52451132096,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:05:23.510Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4940.602528840532,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:15:23.510Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3667.358831803871,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:05:26.045Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4945.778731405311,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:10:24.687Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3671.1396457936958,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:30:33.313Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4959.121042893141,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:41:21.527Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3681.7551380658174,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:05:37.077Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4966.592458859556,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:31.453Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3686.5893997929456,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:05:27.878Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4971.823292089879,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:10:24.754Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3690.4721782211586,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3691%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 0.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PER","reason":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?: Peru"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-POR","reason":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?: Portug"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-MEX","reason":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?: Mexico"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Pope%20Leo%20XIV%20visit%20United%20States%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}