{"ticker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","description":"If Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":3,"spread":0,"volume":2909953.78,"volume24h":413.92,"openInterest":1783376.15,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":883,"iyYes":1336.0155529493097,"iyNo":1.277940267461344,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":35841,"askDepthUsd":119074,"volume24h":413.92,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T07:04:57.574Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Bri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","connectedTitle":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-ETRU","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Eri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-GY","connectedTitle":"Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU","connectedTitle":"Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: I","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JBZ","connectedTitle":"Will Jeff Bezos be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV","connectedTitle":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: J.D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JH","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU","connectedTitle":"Will Lara Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Lar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MTG","connectedTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-NH","connectedTitle":"Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ni","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS","connectedTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: R","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RPAU","connectedTitle":"Will Rand Paul be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Rand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA","connectedTitle":"Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TC","connectedTitle":"Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ted C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TG","connectedTitle":"Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:30:49.597Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1295.55245496304,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T23:45:22.499Z","priceCents":4,"iy":961.9661005781679,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T00:55:25.269Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1296.0504231519524,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T17:35:54.894Z","priceCents":4,"iy":962.7516232695749,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T05:35:54.336Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1297.753517368381,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T21:50:52.903Z","priceCents":4,"iy":965.0606192472306,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T22:55:43.935Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1301.6496262881387,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T23:15:48.567Z","priceCents":4,"iy":969.3954336605966,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T12:30:42.336Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1308.2379267431102,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T13:30:22.634Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2016.206308014547,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T23:00:33.806Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1334.0251198380706,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1336%","tight LAS 0.000","20 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 3c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","marketTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":3},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","reason":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Re"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","reason":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR","reason":"Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency f"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donald%20J.%20Trump%20be%20the%20nominee%20for%20the%20Presidency%20for%20t","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":195}