{"ticker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","description":"If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":31,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":32,"spread":1,"volume":2863816.14,"volume24h":1257.59,"openInterest":1414683.04,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":26,"edge":5,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-28T06:04:18.856Z","firstDetectedPrice":32}],"indicators":{"tauDays":883,"iyYes":91.97047537762124,"iyNo":18.564088812832182,"cri":2.226,"ee":5,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0323,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.423,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":7290,"askDepthUsd":113148,"volume24h":1257.59,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3,"sfEdgeCents":5,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T07:04:59.665Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Bri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","connectedTitle":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-ETRU","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Eri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-GY","connectedTitle":"Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU","connectedTitle":"Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: I","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JBZ","connectedTitle":"Will Jeff Bezos be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JH","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU","connectedTitle":"Will Lara Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Lar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MTG","connectedTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-NH","connectedTitle":"Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ni","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS","connectedTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: R","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RPAU","connectedTitle":"Will Rand Paul be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Rand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA","connectedTitle":"Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TC","connectedTitle":"Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ted C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TG","connectedTitle":"Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T15:10:39.386Z","priceCents":35,"iy":74.24560131974101,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T17:35:25.710Z","priceCents":34,"iy":77.69882966016871,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T01:01:31.712Z","priceCents":33,"iy":82.01365300112286,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T03:30:53.210Z","priceCents":32,"iy":86.03916452851368,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:30:25.019Z","priceCents":33,"iy":82.5483643795183,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T01:45:41.059Z","priceCents":32,"iy":86.60859447580933,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T22:15:27.248Z","priceCents":31,"iy":91.41680917912606,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.032","20 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 28c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV","marketTitle":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":28},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","reason":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Re"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","reason":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","reason":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20J.D.%20Vance%20be%20the%20nominee%20for%20the%20Presidency%20for%20the%20Re","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":163}