{"ticker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","description":"If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":30,"bestBid":30,"bestAsk":31,"spread":1,"volume":4819612.14,"volume24h":16939.84,"openInterest":2310750.55,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":837,"iyYes":101.69227083019898,"iyNo":18.678172193301855,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.22,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":62505,"askDepthUsd":152237,"volume24h":16939.84,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-07-24T03:09:00.315Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Bri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","connectedTitle":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-GY","connectedTitle":"Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU","connectedTitle":"Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: I","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JBZ","connectedTitle":"Will Jeff Bezos be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV","connectedTitle":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: J.D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JH","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU","connectedTitle":"Will Lara Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Lar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MTG","connectedTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS","connectedTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: R","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA","connectedTitle":"Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TC","connectedTitle":"Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ted C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TG","connectedTitle":"Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-3.1599999999998545,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:19.887Z","priceCents":28,"iy":108.1175193002937,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T00:31:07.776Z","priceCents":29,"iy":103.47586676460972,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T22:46:30.105Z","priceCents":30,"iy":99.88162756623463,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T11:31:04.116Z","priceCents":29,"iy":104.9904175734067,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T17:31:07.776Z","priceCents":28,"iy":110.30402441798677,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T20:46:47.237Z","priceCents":27,"iy":116.40712181785764,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T21:30:59.294Z","priceCents":28,"iy":110.71610570506442,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T21:16:01.623Z","priceCents":29,"iy":105.53673441936328,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T00:16:00.018Z","priceCents":28,"iy":111.12430395084955,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T01:15:58.038Z","priceCents":29,"iy":105.8075202179533,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T21:15:58.445Z","priceCents":28,"iy":111.50385435050872,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:15:58.635Z","priceCents":29,"iy":106.1741007793175,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T03:00:59.295Z","priceCents":30,"iy":101.2082803029673,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T18:02:38.275Z","priceCents":29,"iy":106.52633827232161,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T13:02:29.792Z","priceCents":30,"iy":101.62092333049353,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T14:45:56.542Z","priceCents":30,"iy":101.62965437962157,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 102%","tight LAS 0.033","17 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 27c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MR","marketTitle":"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":27},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","reason":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Re"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","reason":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","reason":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Marco%20Rubio%20be%20the%20nominee%20for%20the%20Presidency%20for%20the%20R","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":129}