{"ticker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","description":"If Ron DeSantis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":5,"spread":0,"volume":2697160.04,"volume24h":1913.39,"openInterest":1644060.21,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":838,"iyYes":828.0448708381341,"iyNo":2.2937531048147766,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.22,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":74317,"askDepthUsd":139150,"volume24h":1913.39,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-24T03:05:40.492Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Bri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","connectedTitle":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-GY","connectedTitle":"Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-ITRU","connectedTitle":"Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: I","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JBZ","connectedTitle":"Will Jeff Bezos be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV","connectedTitle":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: J.D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-JH","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Jo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-LTRU","connectedTitle":"Will Lara Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Lar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-MTG","connectedTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-SPRA","connectedTitle":"Will Spencer Pratt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TC","connectedTitle":"Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Ted C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TG","connectedTitle":"Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESNOMR-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Thomas Massie be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESNOMR-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T16:31:46.136Z","priceCents":5,"iy":807.3942645319324,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T22:31:32.921Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1021.3528027739756,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T23:02:03.851Z","priceCents":5,"iy":808.5907667912295,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T22:01:45.668Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1023.7148930650328,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T18:31:32.001Z","priceCents":5,"iy":819.8824145566663,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T04:31:33.096Z","priceCents":6,"iy":677.9807043253232,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T05:16:50.931Z","priceCents":5,"iy":822.2621397786353,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T06:00:58.594Z","priceCents":6,"iy":678.030545562625,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T06:16:24.168Z","priceCents":5,"iy":822.3021139152252,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T06:46:13.209Z","priceCents":6,"iy":678.0554689294075,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T07:02:27.999Z","priceCents":5,"iy":822.3333159420014,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T07:16:13.784Z","priceCents":6,"iy":678.07235354151,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T08:16:20.502Z","priceCents":5,"iy":822.3840242861207,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T08:46:26.385Z","priceCents":6,"iy":678.1230124236247,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T19:31:14.940Z","priceCents":5,"iy":822.8406809585053,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T19:45:57.564Z","priceCents":6,"iy":678.4915221189027,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T01:15:59.330Z","priceCents":5,"iy":823.075060647636,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T01:31:15.623Z","priceCents":6,"iy":678.6839821085372,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T02:15:57.792Z","priceCents":5,"iy":823.1151138652465,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 828%","tight LAS 0.000","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRESNOMR-28-RDS","marketTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-BK","reason":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Presidency for the Re"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-COWE","reason":"Will Candace Owens be the nominee for the Presidency for the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESNOMR-28-DJT","reason":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ron%20DeSantis%20be%20the%20nominee%20for%20the%20Presidency%20for%20the%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}