{"ticker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-KHARJVANR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will JD Vance defeat Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, with Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?","description":"If JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":1178.85,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1178.85,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-20T10:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":966,"iyYes":1221.1585157224374,"iyNo":1.168075952970766,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.49,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":9618,"askDepthUsd":6497,"volume24h":0,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-05-29T23:59:19.625Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Andy Beshear defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Andy B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, with Andy B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Andy Beshear defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with And","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, with And","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Gav","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gav","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Osso","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Osso","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Jon Ossoff defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon O","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Jon Ossoff in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon O","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JSHAJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Shapiro defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JSHAJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JSHAMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Shapiro defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Jos","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JSHAMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Josh Shapiro in the 2028 presidential election, with Jos","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JTALJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will James Talarico defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jame","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JTALJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, with Jame","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JTALMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will James Talarico defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with J","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JTALMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat James Talarico in the 2028 presidential election, with J","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-KHARJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kamala Harris defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Kamal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-KHARMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Kamala Harris defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Ka","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-KHARMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, with Ka","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-PBUTJVAND","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Buttigieg defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Pete","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-PBUTJVANR","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, with Pete","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-PBUTMRUBD","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Buttigieg defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-PBUTMRUBR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio defeat Pete Buttigieg in the 2028 presidential election, with P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07","groupLabel":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:00:53.012Z","priceCents":2,"iy":1809.7665669279702,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:05:43.690Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1200.785351944913,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:16:11.302Z","priceCents":2,"iy":1831.3274231170144,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T06:30:36.312Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1209.007541570839,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:15:23.695Z","priceCents":2,"iy":1844.7862740062033,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:15:44.781Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1217.517673865513,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["maker regime","IY 1221%","31 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-KHARJVANR","marketTitle":"Will JD Vance defeat Kamala Harris in the 2028 presidential election, with Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESJVAND","reason":"Will Andy Beshear defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESJVANR","reason":"Will JD Vance defeat Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESMRUBD","reason":"Will Andy Beshear defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidentia"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20JD%20Vance%20defeat%20Kamala%20Harris%20in%20the%202028%20presidential%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":144}