{"ticker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-AOCA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the next presidential election?","description":"If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":5,"spread":0,"volume":2007723.27,"volume24h":20117.73,"openInterest":1438104.39,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":1296,"iyYes":535.2695141821335,"iyNo":1.482741036515606,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.29,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":7361,"askDepthUsd":12106,"volume24h":20117.73,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:23:43.631Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-GNEWS","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Gavin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-PBUT","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Pete Buttigieg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-JSHA","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Josh Shapiro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-KHAR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Kamala Harris","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-WMOO","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Wes Moore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-GWHI","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Gretchen Whitmer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-ABES","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Andy Beshear","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-JPRI","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: J.B. Pritzker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: J.D. Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Tulsi Gabbard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRU","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Donald J. Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-GYOU","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Glenn Youngkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-RDES","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Jon Ossoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-MKEL","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Mark Kelly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Tucker Carlson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRESPERSON-28","groupLabel":"KXPRESPERSON-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:40:33.845Z","priceCents":5,"iy":531.9385574531992,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T05:45:33.565Z","priceCents":4,"iy":672.0961189518063,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T05:55:50.438Z","priceCents":5,"iy":532.0789517699393,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:10:41.131Z","priceCents":4,"iy":672.8792780834923,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:20:34.447Z","priceCents":5,"iy":532.7161456392939,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:51:07.014Z","priceCents":4,"iy":672.915460002243,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:00:35.827Z","priceCents":5,"iy":532.7276037397708,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T13:40:55.723Z","priceCents":6,"iy":440.1917804352651,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T13:45:56.598Z","priceCents":5,"iy":533.8512498739464,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:16:21.709Z","priceCents":4,"iy":674.8901570044122,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:55:19.610Z","priceCents":5,"iy":534.3506156782399,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:40:32.288Z","priceCents":4,"iy":675.6147052630849,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:46.965Z","priceCents":5,"iy":535.203006706437,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 535%","tight LAS 0.000","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRESPERSON-28-AOCA","marketTitle":"Who will win the next presidential election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESPERSON-28-GNEWS","reason":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Gavin Newsom"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESPERSON-28-PBUT","reason":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Pete Buttigieg"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRESPERSON-28-JSHA","reason":"Who will win the next presidential election?: Josh Shapiro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%20next%20presidential%20election%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2301}