{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P7","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 8%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":45,"volume24h":45,"openInterest":45,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":370,"iyYes":1876.0431855132133,"iyNo":5.196795527737434,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":6537,"askDepthUsd":4815,"volume24h":45},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T22:19:43.754Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P9","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P9","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P9","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:00:42.209Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2364.1108541295025,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:15:23.448Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1871.6382704820917,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:30:39.248Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1543.3264960955776,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:34.750Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3189.1052490303427,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:31:47.431Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1874.2230149721631,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1876%","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P7","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 8%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 Cali"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P3","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 Cali"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 Cali"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Steve%20Hilton%20in%20the%202026%20Cali","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":147}