{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P65","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 30%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":38,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":42,"spread":5,"volume":939.04,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":258.04,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":374,"iyYes":166.38862869937927,"iyNo":57.39129067509454,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.32,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":5460,"askDepthUsd":677,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T02:36:06.858Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P72","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P75","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic prim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T02:17:08.809Z","priceCents":55,"iy":117.86664599963837,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:15:59.967Z","priceCents":54,"iy":113.23241726335344,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:46:32.876Z","priceCents":51,"iy":100.4001118397378,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:17:29.578Z","priceCents":56,"iy":122.77771730995224,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T15:01:55.271Z","priceCents":51,"iy":100.51353968405759,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T15:16:02.000Z","priceCents":53,"iy":108.90303261590941,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:32:03.509Z","priceCents":52,"iy":104.64828032771123,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T03:32:17.676Z","priceCents":54,"iy":113.5234214196752,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T07:15:59.552Z","priceCents":53,"iy":109.09527505515813,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T09:31:54.759Z","priceCents":54,"iy":113.598665080243,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T09:46:01.307Z","priceCents":55,"iy":118.2766430290133,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T12:30:59.697Z","priceCents":57,"iy":128.31767966602985,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T15:30:58.073Z","priceCents":55,"iy":118.3516373057331,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T16:02:58.051Z","priceCents":51,"iy":100.79141429332171,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T18:46:33.950Z","priceCents":53,"iy":109.23424955901156,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T23:46:22.541Z","priceCents":54,"iy":113.7775425644038,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T00:01:02.256Z","priceCents":55,"iy":118.46289160984729,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T02:46:39.245Z","priceCents":52,"iy":105.03327418709338,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:16:00.847Z","priceCents":53,"iy":109.33697032539804,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:45:55.765Z","priceCents":52,"iy":105.05643600745691,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:47:08.244Z","priceCents":51,"iy":100.94487439182274,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T12:15:52.742Z","priceCents":52,"iy":105.14387315904048,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T19:30:56.029Z","priceCents":49,"iy":101.09853346027451,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T20:30:56.681Z","priceCents":48,"iy":105.23985816018107,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:16:58.261Z","priceCents":49,"iy":101.11817746313478,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T02:01:43.484Z","priceCents":29,"iy":237.98217562634588,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T02:17:14.872Z","priceCents":36,"iy":172.81215082476376,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T03:04:59.418Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.0548230540107,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T03:32:19.981Z","priceCents":40,"iy":145.8304477993586,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T06:03:12.706Z","priceCents":41,"iy":139.9415189363587,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T09:45:53.600Z","priceCents":40,"iy":145.93150947821823,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:02:17.887Z","priceCents":41,"iy":140.03441979061233,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T13:17:03.514Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.79431399873977,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T13:46:31.045Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.72575231167423,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T14:46:55.375Z","priceCents":35,"iy":180.7778132094672,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T15:03:04.138Z","priceCents":36,"iy":173.05734243188238,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T15:31:44.127Z","priceCents":35,"iy":180.79276005962163,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T15:45:56.357Z","priceCents":36,"iy":173.07118975181476,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T16:17:20.319Z","priceCents":35,"iy":180.8077093816148,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T16:31:50.312Z","priceCents":34,"iy":188.994094817137,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T16:47:02.841Z","priceCents":35,"iy":180.81783774638097,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:01:59.623Z","priceCents":36,"iy":173.09519702323686,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:31:19.261Z","priceCents":35,"iy":180.83279121606148,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:45:53.832Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.799144304812,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T18:01:17.821Z","priceCents":36,"iy":173.1145923744208,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T18:31:15.708Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.81285724216045,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T20:16:01.038Z","priceCents":36,"iy":173.15755469510486,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T04:16:25.243Z","priceCents":33,"iy":197.93021088409768,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T14:17:10.633Z","priceCents":32,"iy":207.39301795779537,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T15:31:01.357Z","priceCents":37,"iy":166.20085374982588,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 166%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 34c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P65","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary be at least 30%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":34},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P52","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 F"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P55","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 F"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY25D26-JMOS-P57","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Jared Moskowitz in the 2026 F"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Jared%20Moskowitz%20in%20the%202026%20F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":145}