{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P7","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":13,"spread":6,"volume":2911,"volume24h":1,"openInterest":2311,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":367,"iyYes":1323.0797414255114,"iyNo":7.495769144392425,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":510,"askDepthUsd":1787,"volume24h":1},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T02:36:27.636Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gube","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gube","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gube","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gube","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gube","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-MLIN-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Lindell in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-MLIN-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Lindell in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-MLIN-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Lindell in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-MLIN-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Lindell in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-MLIN-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Lindell in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-MLIN-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Lindell in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T17:00:58.581Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4796.526440567054,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T15:45:57.541Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2355.307238536698,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T16:02:18.373Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1864.6733796700853,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:02:10.978Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1539.6075369420548,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T19:45:53.764Z","priceCents":11,"iy":803.018767180177,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T04:47:27.818Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1142.5375084380375,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T15:17:13.278Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1005.7489536758967,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T15:46:27.185Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1321.5977374963109,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T21:15:59.244Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1144.678031181057,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T22:02:13.415Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1322.5384790710084,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1323%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 11c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P7","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":11},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minne"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minne"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMNNOMR26-LDEM-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Lisa Demuth in the 2026 Minne"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Lisa%20Demuth%20in%20the%202026%20Minne","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}