{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P12","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":2,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":1,"spread":1,"volume":144,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":94,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":163,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:45:44.700Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T05:46:24.975Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2410.9450299028745,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T06:16:01.785Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1573.9023052095204,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T06:31:01.572Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1334.7441632221653,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:01:01.096Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1155.4098505055176,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:15:53.958Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1015.8955617154643,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:45:54.246Z","priceCents":10,"iy":904.3109618455102,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T08:16:06.628Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1016.0130260119527,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:16:08.427Z","priceCents":13,"iy":672.5529967737364,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:30:53.537Z","priceCents":14,"iy":617.3521786690759,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T10:31:06.482Z","priceCents":19,"iy":428.49347549297045,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T10:45:53.425Z","priceCents":17,"iy":490.7427880896669,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T11:01:00.239Z","priceCents":18,"iy":457.9090827865351,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:30:50.094Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1913.6577491411301,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:45:30.993Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4935.358803482484,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:00:27.432Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3256.755202943544,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:16:23.184Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2417.458687949134,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:30:48.476Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1913.8742776400975,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:46:04.012Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1578.1547686400268,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:15:23.022Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1338.3874924544436,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:30:33.893Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1158.5318730817637,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:45:21.216Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1018.6406797521282,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T07:15:21.032Z","priceCents":10,"iy":906.7547014610205,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T17:00:34.017Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4942.314335060449,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:00:31.766Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2421.0063758695305,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:45:43.744Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4943.311535038501,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:46:14.577Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3262.2917588087867,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:16:04.375Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2422.1912535669253,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:01:08.620Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1917.7377607680899,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:30:51.219Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1581.3799994837816,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:00:43.637Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1020.6662247825689,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:30:33.240Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1160.9350540156322,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T01:15:36.524Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2423.0287305929505,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T04:00:23.830Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3265.396846477928,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T04:45:29.488Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2424.007637284337,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:15:31.691Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3265.866734557584,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:30:23.618Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4949.440161171594,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:45:32.599Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3266.056535387891,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:00:21.659Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1161.6708133494587,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:15:32.332Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2424.4235766890015,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:45:30.369Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3266.427162503021,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T07:00:31.847Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4950.303218181466,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T07:15:20.017Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1342.2476449870635,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T07:30:24.228Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3266.707448609677,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:00:37.275Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2424.9134948096885,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4951.015809477936,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:30:33.855Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3267.0872678181063,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T09:00:32.284Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2425.1954552501606,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T09:30:42.461Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4951.728605957578,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T10:00:47.760Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3267.6571622651823,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T10:45:22.251Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4952.441607709029,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 2c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P12","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":2},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P2","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Christine%20Drazan%20in%20the%202026%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":135}