{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P54","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 9%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":98,"bestBid":98,"bestAsk":100,"spread":2,"volume":5603.2,"volume24h":662.54,"openInterest":2469.84,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":2360,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":662.54},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T12:06:26.453Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P53","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P59","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P63","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P65","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:32:19.029Z","priceCents":30,"iy":232.81603523859772,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:00:59.849Z","priceCents":82,"iy":454.5704453575341,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T20:16:00.489Z","priceCents":81,"iy":425.45439003741683,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T22:16:01.261Z","priceCents":80,"iy":399.2823856302099,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T22:31:24.870Z","priceCents":81,"iy":425.56376583269235,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T23:47:30.251Z","priceCents":79,"iy":375.58131416859186,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T02:03:01.404Z","priceCents":78,"iy":354.06237765758203,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T19:31:24.898Z","priceCents":80,"iy":400.25221372371647,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T20:03:08.757Z","priceCents":81,"iy":426.6103259178798,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T22:46:30.885Z","priceCents":80,"iy":400.40149848889575,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T00:16:45.114Z","priceCents":45,"iy":122.36570858736029,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T00:46:17.802Z","priceCents":41,"iy":144.07967676375173,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:01:55.154Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1568.6435873520966,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:16:45.240Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4906.317724192797,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:30:56.604Z","priceCents":80,"iy":400.5267200702295,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:47:27.722Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4906.600385724358,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T02:16:58.019Z","priceCents":90,"iy":901.2642391519064,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T02:31:01.621Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1012.5592094874195,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T02:46:39.245Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1151.6786110166058,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:01:54.517Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1569.0008240569746,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:16:00.847Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1902.8829980765358,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:15:55.905Z","priceCents":96,"iy":2403.9121199980223,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:03:04.490Z","priceCents":98,"iy":4908.431744393791,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T22:15:58.789Z","priceCents":99,"iy":9936.588424225083,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T02:01:43.484Z","priceCents":98,"iy":4920.233618249288,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T14:46:55.375Z","priceCents":97,"iy":3251.4434278230956,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T16:47:02.841Z","priceCents":96,"iy":2413.994554733742,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:45:53.832Z","priceCents":97,"iy":3252.554594319487,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T20:02:27.471Z","priceCents":96,"iy":2414.8995997221186,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T22:17:03.738Z","priceCents":97,"iy":3254.24071546419,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T01:32:13.409Z","priceCents":98,"iy":4933.534518190765,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T01:45:58.275Z","priceCents":97,"iy":3255.5423758425027,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T03:17:12.197Z","priceCents":98,"iy":4934.528177990648,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T03:47:06.905Z","priceCents":99,"iy":9970.31118076517,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T22:47:11.171Z","priceCents":98,"iy":4945.6079903991285,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 88c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P54","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 9%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":88},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P51","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P53","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P56","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Marsha%20Blackburn%20in%20the%202026%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":162}