{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P6","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":20,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":19,"spread":2,"volume":4114.08,"volume24h":40.24,"openInterest":3822.79,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-28T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":335,"iyYes":532.4633005448192,"iyNo":22.337333990049753,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1176,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":843,"askDepthUsd":3113,"volume24h":40.24},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:45:23.786Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-NRAM-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the first round of the 2026 Los A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-SPRA-P50","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T17:51:01.693Z","priceCents":13,"iy":696.241109249888,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T20:00:48.965Z","priceCents":12,"iy":765.3107418939487,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:15:37.222Z","priceCents":14,"iy":641.5489063011589,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:25:43.649Z","priceCents":15,"iy":591.8282868168699,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:35:42.823Z","priceCents":14,"iy":641.5746068081713,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:45:40.737Z","priceCents":15,"iy":591.85199598628,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:55:40.797Z","priceCents":14,"iy":641.6003093743957,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T03:05:42.855Z","priceCents":15,"iy":591.8757070553875,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T04:05:40.727Z","priceCents":16,"iy":548.419778313915,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:06:14.563Z","priceCents":17,"iy":510.5644454683635,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:36:20.520Z","priceCents":21,"iy":393.4189945719503,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T21:50:52.903Z","priceCents":17,"iy":511.09745335297305,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T01:06:42.549Z","priceCents":16,"iy":549.7981562933061,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T01:10:43.843Z","priceCents":17,"iy":511.30128582273517,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T01:30:54.212Z","priceCents":16,"iy":549.8249741765178,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T01:40:49.498Z","priceCents":17,"iy":511.33209479399954,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T01:50:42.705Z","priceCents":16,"iy":549.8470614566177,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T01:55:42.289Z","priceCents":17,"iy":511.3467670377045,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T02:10:50.375Z","priceCents":16,"iy":549.869150511346,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T02:15:40.955Z","priceCents":17,"iy":511.3673095935343,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T03:10:50.654Z","priceCents":16,"iy":549.9338500965703,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T21:30:40.594Z","priceCents":15,"iy":596.5996225221405,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T04:31:24.180Z","priceCents":13,"iy":711.3360147038563,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T10:00:50.064Z","priceCents":14,"iy":657.199972196191,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:00:24.162Z","priceCents":13,"iy":716.3320550417324,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T17:00:34.017Z","priceCents":14,"iy":657.7610141966577,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T17:15:22.220Z","priceCents":13,"iy":716.6178615789016,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:16:01.853Z","priceCents":16,"iy":562.4499188428426,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:31:10.521Z","priceCents":17,"iy":523.1425159709996,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:45:40.147Z","priceCents":16,"iy":562.6216628057534,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:00:43.637Z","priceCents":17,"iy":523.2377492503771,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:15:48.990Z","priceCents":16,"iy":562.656354603432,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:45:58.764Z","priceCents":17,"iy":523.2869154779788,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T01:30:22.875Z","priceCents":16,"iy":562.7406239262776,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T02:00:21.903Z","priceCents":19,"iy":456.99049385578485,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:45:32.599Z","priceCents":17,"iy":523.6067213162638,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:00:21.659Z","priceCents":16,"iy":563.0514819309324,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:45:30.369Z","priceCents":17,"iy":523.6698060926506,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T07:00:31.847Z","priceCents":16,"iy":563.1209758706519,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":15,"iy":607.9060111666604,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:30:33.855Z","priceCents":16,"iy":563.2235935208345,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T10:15:22.935Z","priceCents":17,"iy":523.8945729398898,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T14:30:25.620Z","priceCents":15,"iy":608.3709091836066,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T14:45:31.331Z","priceCents":16,"iy":563.6559911521084,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T17:15:31.579Z","priceCents":15,"iy":608.5767640389489,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:45:36.016Z","priceCents":14,"iy":660.8103863646123,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T06:15:32.538Z","priceCents":15,"iy":611.3487209954196,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:45:27.982Z","priceCents":20,"iy":432.3133501915799,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:00:28.220Z","priceCents":16,"iy":567.5675675675676,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:15:41.654Z","priceCents":17,"iy":529.6699995926288,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 532%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 18c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P6","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 4% and 8%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":18},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-MAYORLA2026-KBAS-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the first round"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Karen%20Bass%20in%20the%20first%20round","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":279}