{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P56","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 12%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":33,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":31,"spread":7,"volume":595.94,"volume24h":595.94,"openInterest":545.94,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-27T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":366,"iyYes":353.12039607035416,"iyNo":28.09176063413074,"cri":3.545,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.34,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":4113,"askDepthUsd":706,"volume24h":595.94},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:50:47.317Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Sen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P53","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Sen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Sen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Sen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Sen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:16:58.357Z","priceCents":13,"iy":664.4738645511197,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:31:06.380Z","priceCents":14,"iy":610.0039876654433,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:02:31.146Z","priceCents":16,"iy":521.667047793277,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:16:23.305Z","priceCents":57,"iy":131.76502240005377,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:46:28.688Z","priceCents":60,"iy":149.11105301000066,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:00:57.243Z","priceCents":33,"iy":201.90131512844775,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:16:07.374Z","priceCents":29,"iy":243.47347346406903,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:02:14.020Z","priceCents":32,"iy":211.36672689170663,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:01:21.389Z","priceCents":33,"iy":201.9932200321107,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:16:38.130Z","priceCents":21,"iy":374.62015062757166,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T02:30:56.375Z","priceCents":22,"iy":353.1146147776296,"cri":3.545}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 353%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 30c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P56","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 12%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":30},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P51","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Loui"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P53","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Loui"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATELAR26-JLET-P54","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Loui"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Julia%20Letlow%20in%20the%202026%20Loui","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":247}