{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":6,"spread":6,"volume":127.44,"volume24h":61.76,"openInterest":95.76,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-09-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":432,"iyYes":1322.4943530917305,"iyNo":5.38816169208944,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":5363,"volume24h":61.76},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T04:53:30.476Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-SMOU-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:31:43.155Z","priceCents":8,"iy":951.9522107516738,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:45:55.290Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8195.25271814318,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:16:05.744Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1099.848201831622,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:30:43.420Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1986.8676215425446,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:46:33.456Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2676.818996984846,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T19:01:36.565Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1987.3364020590259,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T22:31:09.159Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1599.234396799225,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:00:57.243Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1320.506218425815,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1322%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massach"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massach"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massach"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Seth%20Moulton%20in%20the%202026%20Mass","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":140}