{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-PREN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Paul Renner finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary?","description":"If Paul Renner finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":487.8,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":412.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":475,"iyYes":1843.5080527209632,"iyNo":3.200534813751673,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T09:43:06.627Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-JCOL","connectedTitle":"Will Jay Collins finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary?: Jay Coll","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-BDON","connectedTitle":"Will Byron Donalds finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary?: Byron ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-JFIS","connectedTitle":"Will James Fishback finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary?: James","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-CDES","connectedTitle":"Will Casey DeSantis finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary?: Casey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2","groupLabel":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:31:05.751Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3650.782310495106,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:00:16.606Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2421.271904629037,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T15:00:54.943Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3672.8013504244723,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T17:21:01.988Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2459.3978799372044,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:11:00.211Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1836.0276410188696,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1844%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-JCOL","reason":"Will Jay Collins finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatoria"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-BDON","reason":"Will Byron Donalds finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernator"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2-JFIS","reason":"Will James Fishback finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernato"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Paul%20Renner%20finish%202nd%20in%20the%202026%20Florida%20gubernatoria","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1776}