{"ticker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?","description":"If the total precipitation at CLIDFW in Dallas in May 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":81,"bestBid":77,"bestAsk":81,"spread":4,"volume":1115.99,"volume24h":286.15,"openInterest":784.33,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-01T03:59:59Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":23,"iyYes":478.26800327239,"iyNo":5360.398849531192,"cri":3.348,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0519,"cvr":null,"overround":1.79,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1269,"askDepthUsd":872,"volume24h":286.15,"observability":"low","eventType":"weather","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T09:08:11.168Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-1","connectedTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 1 inch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRAINDALM-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-3","connectedTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 3 inches","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRAINDALM-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-4","connectedTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 4 inches","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRAINDALM-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-5","connectedTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 5 inches","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRAINDALM-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-6","connectedTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 6 inches","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRAINDALM-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-7","connectedTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 7 inches","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRAINDALM-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T19:25:17.929Z","priceCents":66,"iy":2688.2020403107563,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.611Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2832.4756566930637,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:36:00.544Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2976.5331184281226,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:05:17.969Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2855.174748836857,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:20:45.995Z","priceCents":66,"iy":2730.9952658214074,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T07:35:53.547Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2622.271345675601,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:10:13.228Z","priceCents":66,"iy":2743.473289571385,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:40:42.953Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2648.189799027788,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:16:14.101Z","priceCents":66,"iy":2770.7234935269275,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:25:41.134Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2651.504568187533,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:56:17.617Z","priceCents":64,"iy":2556.8952986401173,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:10:48.505Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2672.200665656731,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:20:48.538Z","priceCents":68,"iy":3063.4108772068416,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:30:50.527Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3209.6213449696174,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3382.8513928609254,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:35:36.239Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3739.3284006829817,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:47:13.305Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3561.3768916593835,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:06:10.006Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3742.459542132575,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:22:15.564Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3570.7691586956457,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:31:00.775Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3403.943511857181,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:46:06.790Z","priceCents":73,"iy":3945.8290757770956,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:06:07.947Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3250.1974509469896,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:30:19.155Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3420.8976006855182,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:50:22.174Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3265.088637724899,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T09:11:22.373Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3436.3567893264467,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T09:16:01.122Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3787.463898032478,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T11:45:43.555Z","priceCents":73,"iy":3999.075462381374,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:36:03.986Z","priceCents":74,"iy":4215.754215754216,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:55:54.691Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3810.993294507993,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T13:11:24.130Z","priceCents":73,"iy":4008.822569167046,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:30:23.171Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3853.8697075282444,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:45:22.929Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3337.3838673898426,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:22:22.125Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3532.5673676497013,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:27:26.468Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3370.1956145304466,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:21:17.463Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3581.8928656544836,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:35:49.447Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3773.2579895079693,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:06:06.444Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3966.576910537691,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:21:21.446Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3778.2034908471687,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:36:17.247Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3970.1003704218456,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:01:13.655Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3438.957648318276,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:30:53.632Z","priceCents":67,"iy":3139.5551858185318,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:50:33.122Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3474.5503157929575,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:55:45.889Z","priceCents":75,"iy":4683.890837539567,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:30:40.752Z","priceCents":74,"iy":4464.315229248619,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:10:31.400Z","priceCents":73,"iy":4245.802400085409,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:15:31.037Z","priceCents":75,"iy":4711.906708550282,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:00:27.551Z","priceCents":76,"iy":4989.3522115744345,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:30:55.588Z","priceCents":75,"iy":4756.7332754126855,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:05:17.131Z","priceCents":76,"iy":5053.707023450367,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:10:21.327Z","priceCents":77,"iy":5353.353727061817,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 478%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 73c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXRAINDALM-26MAY-2","marketTitle":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":73},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRAINDALM-26MAY-1","reason":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 1 inch"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRAINDALM-26MAY-3","reason":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 3 inches"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRAINDALM-26MAY-4","reason":"Rain in Dallas in May 2026?: Above 4 inches"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Rain%20in%20Dallas%20in%20May%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}