{"ticker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?","description":"If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":33,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":34,"spread":1,"volume":758713.35,"volume24h":5154.32,"openInterest":289574.1,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":65,"edge":32,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-05T06:04:40.577Z","firstDetectedPrice":37}],"indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":291.40508130386456,"iyNo":70.69283438180189,"cri":2.03,"ee":31,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0303,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.12,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.577,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2510,"askDepthUsd":4046,"volume24h":5154.32,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5,"sfEdgeCents":32,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:42:52.477Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 1 times?: Exactly 1 cut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?: Exactly 2 cuts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T3","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?: Exactly 3 cuts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T4","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 4 times?: Exactly 4 cuts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T5","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 5 times?: Exactly 5 cuts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T6","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 6 times?: Exactly 6 cuts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T17","connectedTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 17 times?: Exactly 17 cuts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-5,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:00:33.104Z","priceCents":36,"iy":249.13474734366474,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:15:33.424Z","priceCents":37,"iy":238.6230160019069,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:55:36.525Z","priceCents":38,"iy":228.68005628985352,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:10:40.938Z","priceCents":37,"iy":238.65783689752908,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:15:33.259Z","priceCents":36,"iy":249.22373634177114,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:25:37.675Z","priceCents":37,"iy":238.70550301566175,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:30:32.929Z","priceCents":39,"iy":219.27822452494726,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:10:09.544Z","priceCents":38,"iy":228.87164760683993,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:30:26.166Z","priceCents":36,"iy":249.83401438770133,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:25:24.410Z","priceCents":37,"iy":239.39511896308127,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:15:24.967Z","priceCents":38,"iy":229.42625390622783,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:05:17.265Z","priceCents":37,"iy":240.26972902339213,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:50:15.557Z","priceCents":34,"iy":273.9537842581538,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:55:15.658Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.0973532862424,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:15:16.023Z","priceCents":34,"iy":273.9717926193887,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:25:16.285Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.1186367179322,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T15:10:16.396Z","priceCents":34,"iy":274.01205516548544,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T15:50:16.528Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.1784515282048,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:25:17.194Z","priceCents":34,"iy":274.0682305886539,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:45:15.471Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.21699077681444,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:05:19.982Z","priceCents":34,"iy":274.1413991521531,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:45:18.111Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.30222301825006,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:45:17.814Z","priceCents":34,"iy":274.21460679401116,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:20:27.940Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.3692300886913,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:20:43.842Z","priceCents":34,"iy":274.2857299006286,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:50:15.678Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.43220731757236,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:05:16.530Z","priceCents":36,"iy":251.22785463027134,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T15:10:55.000Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.1688412528945,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T16:35:54.580Z","priceCents":36,"iy":251.9800279939456,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T18:25:56.061Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.3068454230667,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:55:27.284Z","priceCents":36,"iy":252.1974429597616,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T22:00:29.442Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.4593292641961,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:06:01.228Z","priceCents":34,"iy":275.5187048493579,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:11:08.888Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.59558825980247,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:56:00.902Z","priceCents":34,"iy":275.5562083191208,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T02:05:52.050Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.634545292915,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T02:10:50.722Z","priceCents":36,"iy":252.3710563241205,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T05:00:29.905Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.75866943339975,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:50:18.787Z","priceCents":36,"iy":253.09554486833616,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:05:37.861Z","priceCents":35,"iy":264.40579742448136,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:56:35.570Z","priceCents":36,"iy":254.13237076346326,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:15:43.940Z","priceCents":35,"iy":265.4910829686212,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:30:31.665Z","priceCents":34,"iy":277.51621033355616,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:45:31.835Z","priceCents":31,"iy":318.3760835026451,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:50:32.076Z","priceCents":32,"iy":304.0104887293194,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:55:32.881Z","priceCents":31,"iy":318.43723119807373,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:05:58.184Z","priceCents":30,"iy":334.10222612770946,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:35:46.011Z","priceCents":31,"iy":318.73206776179217,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:20:46.254Z","priceCents":32,"iy":304.33375186376827,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:40:57.295Z","priceCents":33,"iy":291.0251439536149,"cri":2.03}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_long","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"32c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+32c executable edge (yes)","IY 291%","tight LAS 0.030","7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Buy 10 YES contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0","marketTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 30c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0","marketTitle":"Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":30},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1","reason":"Will the Fed cut rates 1 times?: Exactly 1 cut"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2","reason":"Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?: Exactly 2 cuts"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T3","reason":"Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?: Exactly 3 cuts"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Fed%20cut%20rates%200%20times%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1504}