{"ticker":"KXRECNCH-26-MAY22","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?","description":"If a reconciliation bill passes the House before May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":29,"bestBid":23,"bestAsk":29,"spread":6,"volume":6157.37,"volume24h":2052.85,"openInterest":1313.19,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-22T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":31,"iyYes":3990.8439914403816,"iyNo":356.0729417223751,"cri":3.348,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2609,"cvr":null,"overround":1.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":649,"askDepthUsd":819,"volume24h":2052.85},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:09:26.310Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXRECNCH-26-JUN12","connectedTitle":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before Jun ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECNCH-26","groupLabel":"KXRECNCH-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECNCH-26-JUL03","connectedTitle":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before Jul ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECNCH-26","groupLabel":"KXRECNCH-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECNCH-26-JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?: Before Jan ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECNCH-26","groupLabel":"KXRECNCH-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T09:22:43.888Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2928.271239994816,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:08:00.744Z","priceCents":21,"iy":3109.293806968226,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:53:12.220Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2932.4516408132995,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:52:46.325Z","priceCents":21,"iy":3117.341108577743,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T22:56:06.347Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1558.77988106296,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T20:25:59.061Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1865.1480067970554,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T20:30:58.058Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1783.450996185828,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T20:45:58.849Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1865.8054435283898,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:40:44.734Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1796.9297787590815,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T19:40:34.676Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1911.7730982137757,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:05:47.675Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1357.0791195716838,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:25:42.531Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1415.0943396226414,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:45:48.972Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1358.0264819893594,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T16:55:51.493Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1330.7133931242913,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:30:53.289Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1278.1666648236003,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:46:13.530Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1389.4973742467778,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:50:55.609Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2728.1448921898973,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:55:22.166Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1097.0083691681696,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T13:10:24.453Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1054.2764033514834,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T18:50:26.863Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1246.1900416534754,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:05:11.178Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1304.133669872981,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:11:10.866Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1360.0101453292261,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:15:58.341Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1305.9300982386555,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:06:13.686Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1377.6293650588696,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:10:52.134Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1847.791351450548,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:35:16.172Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1770.5663271316673,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:40:16.600Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1696.8011960836357,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:45:16.779Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1770.919491897437,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:55:16.849Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1849.3712454438646,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:00:17.948Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1771.4747498403399,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:30:53.176Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1698.4949968326785,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:40:16.021Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1127.9893500689395,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T03:35:15.443Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1103.2640970659043,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:00:15.688Z","priceCents":50,"iy":1061.818181818182,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:06:22.980Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1109.320677403707,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T11:05:55.896Z","priceCents":52,"iy":1158.8659965026427,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:55:47.213Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1179.4044245247696,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:00:40.594Z","priceCents":52,"iy":1227.6970524921348,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:21:22.841Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1180.063862279606,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:56:58.467Z","priceCents":50,"iy":1143.519533819982,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:56:35.570Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1246.9384966310326,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:20:31.207Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1310.7309874557388,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:46.387Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1368.1096486783272,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:11.837Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1838.3430555383545,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2625.4503452647027,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:05:28.160Z","priceCents":28,"iy":3040.3013461547357,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:10:29.930Z","priceCents":29,"iy":2898.918736310817,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:31.840Z","priceCents":22,"iy":4222.294068618581,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:30:28.436Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3987.327944068167,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":{"billId":null,"title":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?","status":null,"venue":"kalshi"},"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3991%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.26)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECNCH-26-JUN12","reason":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECNCH-26-JUL03","reason":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECNCH-26-JAN01","reason":"Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20House%20pass%20a%20reconciliation%20bill%20before%20December%2031","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4129}