{"ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will recognize Palestine?","description":"If Austria recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":12,"spread":5,"volume":8739,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3506,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":198,"iyYes":2453.8684301458943,"iyNo":13.902133550369856,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.7143,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.15,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-17T14:32:28.153Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x21ce0ae1b82299b300f53d22a9971dfef63346a0b8962232a7248eadb48bd39c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Austria","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: The Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Finland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Greece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Panama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Singapore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: South Korea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T18:31:09.286Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3049.2094479326047,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:30:57.459Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7982.201275545499,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:00:53.477Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5267.660536808904,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:30:50.094Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7983.662173020265,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:15:23.022Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5269.8480741723115,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:15:48.990Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3924.783935267947,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5295.456720989781,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:30:33.855Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3930.8423041197557,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T11:45:51.158Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5298.951883631095,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T13:15:46.235Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3934.3378769845726,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:15:24.273Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3163.8206727281845,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:00:52.940Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5404.33690213426,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:15:22.976Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4014.720642355303,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:45:24.274Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5419.599955302269,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:27.960Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4023.9415334157106,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:45.486Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5426.078587334501,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:15:43.825Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4028.5678809089113,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:00:24.578Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5451.141421746367,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T06:15:25.470Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4075.423243869419,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:30:56.532Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3247.954514586523,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T01:30:29.419Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4129.251219684649,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:30:43.735Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5583.865223898722,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:45:41.533Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4144.920815924824,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T06:15:25.791Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3334.9843950622026,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T12:00:43.778Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2793.42344586816,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:00:50.204Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3388.4640754403536,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:30:29.836Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2794.26975168381,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:45:55.545Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3388.9773937859786,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:00:27.362Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2794.5565199259777,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:45:58.109Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3389.67310549777,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T17:00:55.073Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2796.264692410884,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T19:15:56.839Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3392.774149360338,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T19:30:28.514Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2797.687484201342,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T00:15:44.009Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3396.2301111181846,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T00:30:53.605Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2800.5511314846917,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T00:45:26.828Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3396.579421675417,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T01:30:51.202Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2801.1135875643945,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:31:04.360Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2394.4843270437404,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:01:36.824Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2824.4680763487227,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:16:55.039Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2395.34775411009,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:01:13.323Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2826.7998088552736,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:15:34.089Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2397.3134834317348,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:45:36.964Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2828.393742745595,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T01:15:34.775Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2398.7958320524913,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2454%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 0.71)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x21ce0ae1b82299b300f53d22a9971dfef63346a0b8962232a7248eadb48bd39c","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","reason":"Who will recognize Palestine?: The Netherlands"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","reason":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Finland"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","reason":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Germany"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20recognize%20Palestine%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":157}