{"ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-JAP","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will recognize Palestine?","description":"If Japan recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":16,"spread":4,"volume":14360.62,"volume24h":66.62,"openInterest":5140.62,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":246,"iyYes":1333.5931505681472,"iyNo":16.464112969977126,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":0.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1043,"askDepthUsd":597,"volume24h":66.62,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T21:13:30.344Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","venue":"polymarket","title":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Japan","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Greece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-FIN","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Finland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SIN","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Singapore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SK","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: South Korea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-NZ","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-SWI","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: The Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-PAN","connectedTitle":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Panama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXRECOGPALESTINE-27","groupLabel":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:25:52.372Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1153.4830144876898,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:30:16.780Z","priceCents":13,"iy":954.1021434623497,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:40:24.991Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1153.5280701299619,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:55:17.770Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1283.3986427619832,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:15:45.072Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1153.8255256681339,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:56:36.198Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1285.7042214933736,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:20:31.826Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1156.2876634410923,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:28.217Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1650.849710732588,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:00:52.403Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1452.0313794407396,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:25:51.357Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1162.1850008192716,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:45:31.595Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1061.6048080253624,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:50:32.132Z","priceCents":13,"iy":968.8187123726584,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T04:20:41.650Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1464.3492782739772,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:00:34.526Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1303.5766014944504,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:40:40.697Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1172.0324236447125,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:25:16.218Z","priceCents":13,"iy":969.7148479512767,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T09:25:14.291Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1172.7585005586714,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T10:10:20.538Z","priceCents":13,"iy":970.1539048121834,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T12:50:14.232Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1173.4201992990183,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T13:20:14.895Z","priceCents":13,"iy":970.662783404188,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T15:20:15.683Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1173.905297624834,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T17:15:23.376Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1064.3275318867493,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T20:10:12.992Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1174.8486548281273,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T20:55:15.451Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1064.9754379263882,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T22:05:13.781Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1175.2226809113954,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T22:25:13.378Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1065.2424521005705,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T16:25:59.006Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1178.8066637321997,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T17:10:42.890Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1077.1641206423815,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:31:00.044Z","priceCents":13,"iy":986.3724974933,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:41:03.202Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1080.8831744313923,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:45:57.480Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1192.55910665814,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:56:07.648Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1080.9268240808422,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:10:59.817Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1192.6409811046165,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:16:17.829Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1080.9879395131381,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:20:57.225Z","priceCents":13,"iy":986.5079389735097,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:30:18.149Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1192.9059460586918,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:50:17.199Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1081.4552643841632,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T00:40:30.371Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1194.7495016513546,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:00:31.015Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1329.0662955260836,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:05:30.783Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1194.8365113495677,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:35:40.560Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1083.052454536749,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:25:30.008Z","priceCents":13,"iy":988.8521747741332,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:30:41.437Z","priceCents":14,"iy":907.6766485073504,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:26:01.819Z","priceCents":13,"iy":990.68898979673,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:36:12.305Z","priceCents":14,"iy":909.3811399160669,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:36:39.818Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1332.5707053497542,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:51:00.415Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1198.220355987819,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:50:49.243Z","priceCents":13,"iy":991.2638918977636,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:10:50.862Z","priceCents":14,"iy":909.9310319238244,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:45:49.380Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1333.2846288720048,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1334%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA","reason":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Italy"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GRE","reason":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Greece"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-USA","reason":"Who will recognize Palestine?: USA"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20recognize%20Palestine%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2819}