{"ticker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-DON","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday?","description":"If Don Cheadle performs / is announced as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":22,"spread":5,"volume":12778.86,"volume24h":1.51,"openInterest":5291.57,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":466,"iyYes":356.76031595160845,"iyNo":17.190711238596236,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":8.74,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":538,"askDepthUsd":193,"volume24h":1.51},"computedAt":"2026-09-22T13:09:13.054Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOB","connectedTitle":"Will Tobey Maguire perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?: Tobey Maguire a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOM","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?: Tom Holland as Sp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-AND","connectedTitle":"Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?: Andrew Garfie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HUG","connectedTitle":"Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?: Hugh Jackman as W","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BEN","connectedTitle":"Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?: Bene","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-XOC","connectedTitle":"Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday?: Xochitl Gom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BENE","connectedTitle":"Will Benedict Wong perform as Wong in Avengers: Doomsday?: Benedict Wong as Wong","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BRI","connectedTitle":"Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?: Brie Larson a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TEY","connectedTitle":"Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday?: Teyonah Pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-IMA","connectedTitle":"Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?: Iman Vellani as ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Mark Ruffalo perform as Hulk in Avengers: Doomsday?: Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-EVA","connectedTitle":"Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday?: Evangeline Lil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JON","connectedTitle":"Will Jonathan Majors perform as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday?: Jonathan Majors as ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-RYA","connectedTitle":"Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?: Ryan Reynolds as ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-GWY","connectedTitle":"Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday?: Gwyneth Pal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JONF","connectedTitle":"Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday?: Jon Favreau as H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAL","connectedTitle":"Will Halle Berry perform as Storm in Avengers: Doomsday?: Halle Berry as Storm?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAI","connectedTitle":"Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday?: Hailee Stei","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY","groupLabel":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T12:01:04.046Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1805.7238973953051,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T12:46:13.968Z","priceCents":7,"iy":999.6610370146988,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T13:15:59.383Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2432.9721498389245,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T14:01:58.974Z","priceCents":9,"iy":760.8765371011784,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T14:16:04.195Z","priceCents":10,"iy":677.2762978036455,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T14:32:07.233Z","priceCents":8,"iy":865.4300140819225,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T14:46:11.766Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1179.0134911307669,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T15:32:09.029Z","priceCents":8,"iy":865.50317746372,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T15:46:02.253Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1179.1155980050917,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T16:02:02.459Z","priceCents":9,"iy":761.0067605077472,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T16:16:04.443Z","priceCents":7,"iy":999.9619987927988,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T17:02:32.210Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1806.502170483487,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T17:46:02.093Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2433.9104461195266,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T18:02:05.789Z","priceCents":8,"iy":865.6888181259461,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T18:17:30.460Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2434.0208814998605,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T18:31:15.616Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1000.155864619939,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T18:46:08.730Z","priceCents":8,"iy":865.7441687309088,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T20:16:14.276Z","priceCents":10,"iy":677.6269648087792,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T20:31:14.404Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1807.0425150071167,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T20:47:00.944Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1000.3498056324304,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:01:14.472Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1807.1207985988626,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:16:12.526Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2434.6435229405242,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:30:59.223Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1430.699278770774,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:46:12.484Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1000.4344204848413,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T22:02:09.304Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1807.2773861322407,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T03:47:08.483Z","priceCents":15,"iy":426.9296635959381,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T09:16:04.372Z","priceCents":16,"iy":395.7240123162323,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T22:32:05.220Z","priceCents":17,"iy":368.43299651621334,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T08:46:03.752Z","priceCents":16,"iy":396.5256797583082,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T09:31:10.347Z","priceCents":17,"iy":368.78219464298667,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T10:01:03.775Z","priceCents":18,"iy":344.1122203642692,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T21:31:07.667Z","priceCents":17,"iy":369.1641718585646,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T08:17:01.665Z","priceCents":15,"iy":428.8656658649195,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T09:46:06.521Z","priceCents":16,"iy":397.3825116441111,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-07T08:16:09.430Z","priceCents":15,"iy":429.75675975177313,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T08:16:03.140Z","priceCents":15,"iy":430.6506676993955,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T09:15:59.938Z","priceCents":16,"iy":399.02007125618707,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T01:16:02.239Z","priceCents":20,"iy":304.4381239938946,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T13:46:17.411Z","priceCents":21,"iy":286.6281957652188,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T09:16:11.462Z","priceCents":17,"iy":372.6293387886416,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T10:01:10.356Z","priceCents":18,"iy":347.7101549488461,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-11T08:16:10.912Z","priceCents":17,"iy":373.37806393090256,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-11T09:30:59.316Z","priceCents":18,"iy":348.42418671531806,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-12T20:31:16.549Z","priceCents":20,"iy":306.8709670639175,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:28.631Z","priceCents":19,"iy":330.1611139333351,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T13:31:20.055Z","priceCents":9,"iy":785.1210171329645,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T14:31:05.000Z","priceCents":10,"iy":698.9064295136377,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T14:46:04.947Z","priceCents":11,"iy":628.323188481483,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T15:01:40.113Z","priceCents":13,"iy":519.7228733874556,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T13:47:19.893Z","priceCents":18,"iy":354.49829075682135,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 357%","18 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 15c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-DON","marketTitle":"Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":15},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOB","reason":"Will Tobey Maguire perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOM","reason":"Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-AND","reason":"Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doom"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Don%20Cheadle%20perform%20as%20James%20Rhodes%20%2F%20War%20Machine%20in%20Av","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":264}