{"ticker":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.12","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for August 2026 be at least $5.12?","description":"If the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for August 2026 is at least $5.12, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":12,"spread":3,"volume":1209,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":477,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-02T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":40,"edge":30,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-08-05T06:08:19.211Z","firstDetectedPrice":12}],"indicators":{"tauDays":9,"iyYes":43028.51294806525,"iyNo":420.8802739757619,"cri":10.111,"ee":28,"eeSource":"thesis","las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.1,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":544,"askDepthUsd":732,"volume24h":0,"sfEdgeCents":30,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-08-24T14:18:13.847Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.08","connectedTitle":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02","groupLabel":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.09","connectedTitle":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02","groupLabel":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.10","connectedTitle":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02","groupLabel":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.11","connectedTitle":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02","groupLabel":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.13","connectedTitle":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02","groupLabel":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T18:15:54.252Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1300.4988214657678,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T18:45:58.350Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1250.3224038430537,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T19:16:18.549Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1302.2977527473133,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T19:30:56.755Z","priceCents":18,"iy":5478.133224978677,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T19:46:17.819Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1356.5214708353146,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T20:00:55.486Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1882.1621914065538,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T00:15:55.541Z","priceCents":33,"iy":2457.504911492641,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T00:32:16.037Z","priceCents":12,"iy":8879.600141542818,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T00:45:54.291Z","priceCents":13,"iy":8106.100443659347,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T14:46:25.234Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9058.093626621547,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T04:16:25.829Z","priceCents":9,"iy":15385.007318474056,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T01:31:51.328Z","priceCents":8,"iy":19891.47948061795,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T04:32:24.335Z","priceCents":9,"iy":17593.342973521267,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T06:02:14.261Z","priceCents":8,"iy":20070.28784546237,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T06:32:11.139Z","priceCents":2,"iy":85598.73647937208,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T06:46:02.421Z","priceCents":8,"iy":20099.11894273128,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T09:16:00.033Z","priceCents":2,"iy":86068.33493743984,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T11:32:14.894Z","priceCents":8,"iy":20292.482475223595,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T11:46:03.409Z","priceCents":2,"iy":86501.25749661445,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T12:02:24.242Z","priceCents":8,"iy":20313.10491676345,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T12:16:07.009Z","priceCents":2,"iy":86589.20358266761,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T13:02:45.743Z","priceCents":8,"iy":20354.475802540976,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T18:46:09.789Z","priceCents":9,"iy":18105.15873015873,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T23:46:12.848Z","priceCents":2,"iy":88644.92466296592,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T00:16:07.242Z","priceCents":8,"iy":20826.097742495658,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T00:31:13.485Z","priceCents":9,"iy":18320.867531550615,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T19:31:07.162Z","priceCents":8,"iy":21689.14380199452,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T20:01:14.385Z","priceCents":9,"iy":19090.397038876246,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T05:02:05.156Z","priceCents":2,"iy":94350.07385524371,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T05:16:04.626Z","priceCents":8,"iy":22153.902992558185,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T06:01:13.768Z","priceCents":9,"iy":19511.263841160755,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T06:31:20.767Z","priceCents":8,"iy":22216.047422462158,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T12:31:01.087Z","priceCents":9,"iy":19794.869961143297,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T12:31:06.671Z","priceCents":8,"iy":23789.956925867154,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T13:46:04.249Z","priceCents":9,"iy":20978.601384467693,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T22:46:06.623Z","priceCents":8,"iy":24379.973282221064,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T04:31:13.847Z","priceCents":8,"iy":26270.496933283266,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T05:46:20.902Z","priceCents":9,"iy":23174.603174603173,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T19:16:46.850Z","priceCents":8,"iy":29224.39601754508,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T02:45:59.867Z","priceCents":9,"iy":26265.42990218174,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T14:16:52.855Z","priceCents":8,"iy":33390.34285259725,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T18:16:22.898Z","priceCents":9,"iy":29750.548613910167,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T18:31:01.114Z","priceCents":8,"iy":33867.19380345329,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T23:46:02.151Z","priceCents":9,"iy":30310.08176376114,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T04:01:54.486Z","priceCents":8,"iy":34984.99749958327,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T10:31:50.785Z","priceCents":9,"iy":31470.585448584938,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T11:31:00.265Z","priceCents":8,"iy":39280.36683511136,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T13:46:52.548Z","priceCents":9,"iy":34842.85834172542,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T19:46:06.440Z","priceCents":8,"iy":40586.92709340553,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T09:17:09.618Z","priceCents":9,"iy":37739.60073172672,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+30c executable edge (yes)","IY 43029%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 11c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.12","marketTitle":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher for August 2026 be at least $5.12?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":11},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.08","reason":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.09","reason":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSBUXSAR-26SEP02-T5.10","reason":"Will the average U.S. price of a Starbucks Grande Strawberry"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20average%20U.S.%20price%20of%20a%20Starbucks%20Grande%20Strawberry","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}