{"ticker":"KXSCOURT-29-JSAU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will D. John Sauer become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?","description":"If D. John Sauer is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":16,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":9,"spread":3,"volume":3419.87,"volume24h":3419.87,"openInterest":3414.87,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":1005,"iyYes":569.027458933333,"iyNo":2.3183554234495234,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.14,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":5616,"askDepthUsd":2307,"volume24h":3419.87},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T06:41:45.399Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-AT","connectedTitle":"Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Amul Thapar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-NR","connectedTitle":"Will Neomi Rao become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Neomi Rao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-JH","connectedTitle":"Will James Ho become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: James Ho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-AO","connectedTitle":"Will Andrew Oldham become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Andrew Oldham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-LVD","connectedTitle":"Will Lawrence VanDyke become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Lawrence Va","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-MK","connectedTitle":"Will Matthew Kacsmaryk become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Matthew Ka","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-AC","connectedTitle":"Will Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Aileen Cannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KM","connectedTitle":"Will Kathryn Mizelle become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kathryn Mize","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-GGK","connectedTitle":"Will Gregory G. Katsas become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Gregory G.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-PB","connectedTitle":"Will Patrick Bumatay become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Patrick Buma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KL","connectedTitle":"Will Kenneth Lee become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kenneth Lee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-BL","connectedTitle":"Will Barbara Lagoa become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Barbara Lagoa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Newsom become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kevin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-MP","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Park become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Michael Park","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KW","connectedTitle":"Will Kristen Waggoner become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kristen Wag","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-ML","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Lee become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Mike Lee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-TED","connectedTitle":"Will Ted Cruz become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Ted Cruz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-EBOV","connectedTitle":"Will Emil Bove become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Emil Bove","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-RDES","connectedTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:16:26.896Z","priceCents":2,"iy":1776.8968634814662,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:20:31.766Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1173.0486077150517,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:55:47.653Z","priceCents":4,"iy":870.8091069136874,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:10.657Z","priceCents":5,"iy":689.6483141653862,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":6,"iy":568.666995502376,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:37.683Z","priceCents":14,"iy":223.03199311876315,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:30.445Z","priceCents":13,"iy":242.98191259629553,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:27.558Z","priceCents":14,"iy":223.0335461211205,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:05:47.974Z","priceCents":10,"iy":326.7723545614337,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:50:28.711Z","priceCents":9,"iy":367.125941606472,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:55:28.822Z","priceCents":6,"iy":568.8457554258368,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:00:32.438Z","priceCents":8,"iy":417.5582368149582,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":10,"iy":326.7915338609748,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:00:52.403Z","priceCents":9,"iy":367.15917839912413,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:15:33.570Z","priceCents":8,"iy":417.61432036565003,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:30:31.599Z","priceCents":6,"iy":568.9300831191762,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 569%","19 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSCOURT-29-AT","reason":"Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Cou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSCOURT-29-NR","reason":"Will Neomi Rao become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSCOURT-29-JH","reason":"Will James Ho become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20D.%20John%20Sauer%20become%20the%20next%20Justice%20on%20the%20Supreme%20Co","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1651}