{"ticker":"KXSCOURT-29-TED","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ted Cruz become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?","description":"If Ted Cruz is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":8,"spread":3,"volume":16377.48,"volume24h":270.14,"openInterest":10694.58,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":1005,"iyYes":690.0614239245838,"iyNo":1.9115274900958004,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.15,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":860,"askDepthUsd":1559,"volume24h":270.14},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T05:27:46.867Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-AT","connectedTitle":"Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Amul Thapar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-NR","connectedTitle":"Will Neomi Rao become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Neomi Rao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-JH","connectedTitle":"Will James Ho become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: James Ho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-AO","connectedTitle":"Will Andrew Oldham become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Andrew Oldham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-LVD","connectedTitle":"Will Lawrence VanDyke become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Lawrence Va","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-MK","connectedTitle":"Will Matthew Kacsmaryk become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Matthew Ka","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-AC","connectedTitle":"Will Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Aileen Cannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KM","connectedTitle":"Will Kathryn Mizelle become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kathryn Mize","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-GGK","connectedTitle":"Will Gregory G. Katsas become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Gregory G.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-PB","connectedTitle":"Will Patrick Bumatay become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Patrick Buma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KL","connectedTitle":"Will Kenneth Lee become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kenneth Lee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-BL","connectedTitle":"Will Barbara Lagoa become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Barbara Lagoa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Newsom become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kevin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-MP","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Park become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Michael Park","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-KW","connectedTitle":"Will Kristen Waggoner become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Kristen Wag","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-ML","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Lee become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Mike Lee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-EBOV","connectedTitle":"Will Emil Bove become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Emil Bove","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-JSAU","connectedTitle":"Will D. John Sauer become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: D. John Sauer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSCOURT-29-RDES","connectedTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSCOURT-29","groupLabel":"KXSCOURT-29"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:22:45.690Z","priceCents":4,"iy":860.9125082921796,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:35:24.663Z","priceCents":5,"iy":683.3246131850611,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:40:23.451Z","priceCents":4,"iy":863.1494312672926,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:11:00.813Z","priceCents":5,"iy":684.9436835056474,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:35:31.826Z","priceCents":8,"iy":414.90269185110355,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:40:32.432Z","priceCents":5,"iy":685.4941142397934,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:00:21.082Z","priceCents":6,"iy":566.5227490834252,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:05:26.166Z","priceCents":4,"iy":868.1544878929117,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:10:16.610Z","priceCents":5,"iy":687.2910129886603,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T06:45:21.163Z","priceCents":4,"iy":868.2500004955765,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T16:05:58.066Z","priceCents":5,"iy":687.6297052066507,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T18:45:54.706Z","priceCents":4,"iy":868.6804981228171,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T18:51:06.187Z","priceCents":5,"iy":687.7081221948747,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:20:55.893Z","priceCents":4,"iy":868.7373557062953,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:25:55.029Z","priceCents":5,"iy":687.7531348055646,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:00:17.129Z","priceCents":4,"iy":869.3719085690695,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:10:17.121Z","priceCents":5,"iy":688.2575423002986,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:50:43.119Z","priceCents":4,"iy":869.4383487817441,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:55:40.629Z","priceCents":5,"iy":688.3074089072039,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:25:26.131Z","priceCents":4,"iy":869.5669437501365,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:30:20.106Z","priceCents":5,"iy":688.4092138634795,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:10:18.128Z","priceCents":4,"iy":869.6653575357099,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:15:18.071Z","priceCents":5,"iy":688.4878087522833,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:55:17.384Z","priceCents":4,"iy":869.6921230316514,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:00:33.908Z","priceCents":5,"iy":688.5089982715294,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:46:08.198Z","priceCents":4,"iy":869.8665708092243,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:50:17.602Z","priceCents":5,"iy":688.6464200316171,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 690%","19 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.60)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSCOURT-29-AT","reason":"Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Cou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSCOURT-29-NR","reason":"Will Neomi Rao become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSCOURT-29-JH","reason":"Will James Ho become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ted%20Cruz%20become%20the%20next%20Justice%20on%20the%20Supreme%20Court%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":6157}