{"ticker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P7","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 6% and 9%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":8,"spread":7,"volume":9,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":150,"askDepthUsd":1185,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T04:54:26.245Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican g","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican g","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican g","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican g","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R","groupLabel":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:15:25.878Z","priceCents":9,"iy":881.3498517108643,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:30:57.183Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1158.0964572039943,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:45:24.047Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1365.676501448071,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T23:45:21.785Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2092.719914762276,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T00:15:23.849Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1656.819718424265,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T01:45:37.610Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1366.3552443987799,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:00:24.519Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1158.7301587301586,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T10:15:38.180Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1367.5119652314766,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T11:45:24.951Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1159.8581450265162,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T11:00:29.046Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2829.287783438218,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T11:30:32.744Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2100.195634661859,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:00:35.445Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2829.5726909671857,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:45:23.084Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1371.131977147534,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T13:30:24.185Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1162.8396925540233,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T16:30:36.815Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8667.650127730005,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T20:00:25.680Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2831.8336332733456,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T22:45:25.306Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1664.526504014305,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T23:00:33.806Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2832.683268326833,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T23:15:24.469Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8673.496329936104,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T14:45:34.239Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4394.694423148749,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:19.887Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9032.349985752207,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 6c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-TDOE-P7","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be between 6% and 9%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":6},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 Sout"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 Sout"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSDRGOVRUNOFFMOV-GOVSDNOMR26R-LRHO-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 Sout"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Toby%20Doeden%20in%20the%202026%20South","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":144}