{"ticker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-PSCH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?","description":"If Patrick Schmidt wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":15,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":19,"spread":7,"volume":648,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":647,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":561,"iyYes":526.6635906119154,"iyNo":8.045233488706195,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.7273,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.22,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":580,"askDepthUsd":2688,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:33:07.337Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-SDAV","connectedTitle":"Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?: Sharice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEKSD-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEKSD-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-CDAV","connectedTitle":"Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?: Christy ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEKSD-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEKSD-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-EMUR","connectedTitle":"Will Erik Murray be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?: Erik Murra","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEKSD-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEKSD-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-SNEU","connectedTitle":"Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?: S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEKSD-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEKSD-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-LKEL","connectedTitle":"Will Laura Kelly be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?: Laura Kell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEKSD-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEKSD-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEKSD-26-NTAY","connectedTitle":"Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Kansas?: Noah Taylo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEKSD-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEKSD-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:07:46.048Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3119.054221143299,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:52:49.077Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6302.103317171858,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:55:26.664Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3159.179549501173,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:30:47.309Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2087.792854152293,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:40:16.600Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3164.708151445928,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:00:50.802Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2096.367165342116,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:30:18.944Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3177.3187231744414,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:35:18.597Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2096.612967792519,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:10:20.552Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3177.713893814429,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:15:17.438Z","priceCents":11,"iy":524.747960251291,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:40:32.369Z","priceCents":12,"iy":476.0871446984762,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:55:12.573Z","priceCents":15,"iy":367.89206444069737,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:55:26.992Z","priceCents":14,"iy":398.83715906982894,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:10:24.945Z","priceCents":15,"iy":367.9267490751431,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:30:12.924Z","priceCents":12,"iy":476.1515098687293,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:55:32.269Z","priceCents":15,"iy":367.9745329599623,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:55:31.845Z","priceCents":12,"iy":476.237074730078,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:10:31.113Z","priceCents":11,"iy":525.8346096780762,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 527%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1","illiquid (LAS 0.73)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATEKSD-26-SDAV","reason":"Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for the Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATEKSD-26-CDAV","reason":"Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for the Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATEKSD-26-EMUR","reason":"Will Erik Murray be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Patrick%20Schmidt%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20the%20Senat","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2732}