{"ticker":"KXSENATEMIR-26-BSMI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Bernadette Smith be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?","description":"If Bernadette Smith wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":3,"spread":3,"volume":283.32,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":205.32,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":112,"iyYes":10494.848172257201,"iyNo":10.03864741739981,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":1571,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-07-14T04:23:44.553Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEMIR-26-MROG","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Rogers be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?: Mike Rog","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEMIR-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEMIR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEMIR-26-KBEN","connectedTitle":"Will Kent Benham be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?: Kent Ben","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEMIR-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEMIR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEMIR-26-FHEU","connectedTitle":"Will Frederick Heurtebise be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEMIR-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEMIR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSENATEMIR-26-GSCO","connectedTitle":"Will Genevieve Scott be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?: Gene","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSENATEMIR-26","groupLabel":"KXSENATEMIR-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:15:43.950Z","priceCents":3,"iy":8463.191511231269,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:01:55.232Z","priceCents":4,"iy":6503.0028135137745,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T01:47:02.814Z","priceCents":3,"iy":9552.060822386436,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T07:16:03.346Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10059.210264627833,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T12:16:28.783Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15271.444916918557,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T12:46:07.479Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10078.883166941378,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T13:47:13.963Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15279.66441978283,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:02:41.448Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10105.03182350087,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:16:00.989Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15314.99130851765,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:01:02.693Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10108.580516035827,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:30:58.902Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15321.945034610377,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T02:16:24.207Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10215.239908825992,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 10495%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATEMIR-26-MROG","reason":"Will Mike Rogers be the Republican nominee for the Senate in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATEMIR-26-KBEN","reason":"Will Kent Benham be the Republican nominee for the Senate in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATEMIR-26-FHEU","reason":"Will Frederick Heurtebise be the Republican nominee for the "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Bernadette%20Smith%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20the%20Sena","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":164}