{"ticker":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-112000000000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $112 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?","description":"If Shopify Inc. reports Above 112000000000 gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":84,"bestBid":83,"bestAsk":88,"spread":5,"volume":77.16,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":73.67,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-04T11:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":70,"iyYes":106.93458274746223,"iyNo":2549.0392406479828,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0602,"cvr":null,"overround":1.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":672,"askDepthUsd":558,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:21:17.111Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-108000000000","connectedTitle":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $108 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSHOP-26AUGGMV","groupLabel":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-116000000000","connectedTitle":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $116 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSHOP-26AUGGMV","groupLabel":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-120000000000","connectedTitle":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $120 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSHOP-26AUGGMV","groupLabel":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-124000000000","connectedTitle":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $124 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSHOP-26AUGGMV","groupLabel":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T02:46:09.511Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2088.113639700281,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:31:15.505Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2266.088786925569,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T05:45:39.827Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2278.3231782063094,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:45:35.438Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2460.3582204532318,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:08.541Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2369.85361587485,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T09:45:55.350Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2553.263780629172,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:31:08.539Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2404.8403216191127,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:45:55.106Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2614.2208155413973,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:02:54.019Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2439.8395721925126,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:46:02.031Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2627.663659051641,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T14:30:57.155Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2446.0686078038425,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:15:58.751Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2634.418949944321,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:15.308Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2456.9954825994914,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:01:37.323Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2646.1693548387098,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:45:56.892Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2496.4051600888297,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:02:31.146Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2691.0977853300933,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:31:37.928Z","priceCents":85,"iy":2920.920949193392,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:30:58.185Z","priceCents":84,"iy":2717.314237095859,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:16:09.508Z","priceCents":82,"iy":2358.918097543982,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:16:07.506Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2529.6447308322727,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:01:46.445Z","priceCents":82,"iy":2365.5964970518953,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T06:00:57.156Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2538.256072711673,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 107%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 76c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-112000000000","marketTitle":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $112 billion gross merchandise volume in Q2 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":76},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-108000000000","reason":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $108 billion gross merchandis"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-116000000000","reason":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $116 billion gross merchandis"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSHOP-26AUGGMV-120000000000","reason":"Will Shopify Inc. report Above $120 billion gross merchandis"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Shopify%20Inc.%20report%20Above%20%24112%20billion%20gross%20merchandis","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}