{"ticker":"KXSNL-28-TFEY","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?","description":"If Tina Fey is announced to be succeeding Lorne Michaels as showrunner of SNL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":45,"bestBid":38,"bestAsk":46,"spread":8,"volume":18260.71,"volume24h":55.62,"openInterest":6650.58,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":468,"iyYes":132.93402061676875,"iyNo":45.85202172445363,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.13,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":207,"askDepthUsd":257,"volume24h":55.62,"observability":"medium","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-09-21T02:48:54.713Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-SMEY","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Seth Meyers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-SH","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Steve Higgins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-MS","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Mike Shoemaker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-KT","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Kenan Thompson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-CJ","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Colin Jost","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-BH","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Bill Hader","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-JA","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Judd Apatow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSNL-28-MR","connectedTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: Maya Rudolph","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSNL-28","groupLabel":"KXSNL-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T17:17:10.738Z","priceCents":39,"iy":114.89066036715991,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T01:01:12.102Z","priceCents":40,"iy":110.25347222921444,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T11:15:58.800Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.59055197309297,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T16:31:04.766Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.90940027443496,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-25T08:16:18.515Z","priceCents":36,"iy":131.27961659158552,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-25T10:47:19.737Z","priceCents":37,"iy":125.76242960216248,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T00:02:09.571Z","priceCents":38,"iy":120.64371177039075,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T08:45:59.368Z","priceCents":39,"iy":115.73965776617521,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T12:16:01.181Z","priceCents":40,"iy":111.02909266417096,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T09:47:25.048Z","priceCents":41,"iy":106.70982563361781,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:16:03.557Z","priceCents":42,"iy":102.44224836394842,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:31:24.348Z","priceCents":43,"iy":98.33689876475056,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-28T10:15:55.914Z","priceCents":36,"iy":132.10359364753631,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-28T10:45:59.300Z","priceCents":37,"iy":126.53030410412694,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-28T11:16:01.847Z","priceCents":38,"iy":121.24993195430243,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-28T14:31:00.310Z","priceCents":39,"iy":116.26765424981383,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T10:02:30.558Z","priceCents":36,"iy":132.37038412117514,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T15:17:02.087Z","priceCents":35,"iy":138.34158037689554,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T08:03:49.034Z","priceCents":34,"iy":144.80795843861313,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T22:46:00.452Z","priceCents":32,"iy":159.0451447272369,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T11:16:20.479Z","priceCents":33,"iy":152.12008622730053,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T14:31:13.068Z","priceCents":34,"iy":145.7819455505341,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T09:47:03.547Z","priceCents":35,"iy":139.7018535742035,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T14:46:11.766Z","priceCents":32,"iy":159.91938310550293,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T15:02:06.229Z","priceCents":33,"iy":152.79631629356055,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T20:46:58.751Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1000.3498056324304,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:01:12.285Z","priceCents":10,"iy":677.6702994745735,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:16:11.418Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1000.3910793820415,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:30:58.379Z","priceCents":8,"iy":865.9495634665215,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:46:09.896Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1000.4344204848413,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T22:02:07.118Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1179.7505159474347,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T03:47:04.465Z","priceCents":36,"iy":133.93871799088254,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T20:01:09.744Z","priceCents":37,"iy":128.461770989226,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T22:32:02.907Z","priceCents":36,"iy":134.15498668327984,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T06:46:13.780Z","priceCents":35,"iy":140.24350054870825,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T13:31:05.144Z","priceCents":37,"iy":128.92252168527833,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T17:31:02.318Z","priceCents":13,"iy":510.06845084878887,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T17:46:09.484Z","priceCents":35,"iy":141.5490447303931,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T20:16:21.970Z","priceCents":36,"iy":135.52965639518965,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T07:16:08.963Z","priceCents":35,"iy":141.71565239674175,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T07:46:37.028Z","priceCents":10,"iy":686.80600709595,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T09:16:07.658Z","priceCents":36,"iy":135.68297208903687,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T18:01:17.713Z","priceCents":35,"iy":141.84850878205194,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-12T20:31:10.868Z","priceCents":39,"iy":119.9944166083267,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:20.812Z","priceCents":8,"iy":890.6197949930087,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T08:16:04.513Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1471.5212367992767,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T09:16:19.091Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1213.4677591059597,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T13:31:13.808Z","priceCents":35,"iy":144.2059011060547,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T14:16:16.950Z","priceCents":36,"iy":138.05265384951787,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T13:47:14.765Z","priceCents":37,"iy":132.4987019506379,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 133%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 41c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXSNL-28-TFEY","marketTitle":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":41},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSNL-28-SMEY","reason":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSNL-28-SH","reason":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSNL-28-MS","reason":"Who will be announced as Lorne Michaels' successor at SNL?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20be%20announced%20as%20Lorne%20Michaels'%20successor%20at%20SNL%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":254}