{"ticker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-SMAH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Shabana Mahmood be out as Home Secretary before July 2026?","description":"If Shabana Mahmood leaves as Home Secretary before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":3110.99,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1346.74,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":5,"iyYes":100000,"iyNo":228.93246387780235,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.91,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2155,"askDepthUsd":3533,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:51:46.191Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-RREE","connectedTitle":"Will Rachel Reeves be out as Chancellor before July 2026?: Rachel Reeves","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-DLAM","connectedTitle":"Will David Lammy be out as Deputy PM before July 2026?: David Lammy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-JREY","connectedTitle":"Will Jonathan Reynolds be out as Chief Whip before July 2026?: Jonathan Reynolds","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-PMCF","connectedTitle":"Will Pat McFadden be out as Work and Pensions Secretary before July 2026?: Pat M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-EMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Ed Miliband be out as Energy Secretary before July 2026?: Ed Miliband","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY","groupLabel":"KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:15:24.837Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6026.261095895732,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:28.713Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6662.1389307468635,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:26.893Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6183.912857157095,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T17:15:28.228Z","priceCents":16,"iy":6093.586033643909,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T18:45:24.672Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3893.5652617229493,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:00:49.260Z","priceCents":12,"iy":10165.071649197429,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T17:30:25.394Z","priceCents":4,"iy":34438.02335181035,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:45:23.842Z","priceCents":5,"iy":28295.72809988167,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T05:45:28.937Z","priceCents":6,"iy":24942.56884468871,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T07:00:27.271Z","priceCents":7,"iy":23231.224079168886,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T09:00:29.418Z","priceCents":8,"iy":26581.59711227915,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T03:30:51.722Z","priceCents":9,"iy":24570.94244710756,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T04:16:10.063Z","priceCents":10,"iy":21917.53402722178,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T12:31:03.249Z","priceCents":11,"iy":20166.49698294058,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T13:00:46.830Z","priceCents":12,"iy":18303.245805981038,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T22:31:02.975Z","priceCents":13,"iy":17168.205704893924,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T05:45:40.387Z","priceCents":12,"iy":20707.617721388415,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:01:44.121Z","priceCents":11,"iy":22940.898144813316,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:30:33.224Z","priceCents":12,"iy":21167.78700408594,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T00:46:47.397Z","priceCents":7,"iy":39967.73851714921,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T01:30:33.861Z","priceCents":6,"iy":47247.23897656229,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T03:01:07.147Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:01:45.966Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T23:30:56.505Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T23:45:59.370Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T00:02:12.279Z","priceCents":5,"iy":84946.10485056344,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T00:15:57.200Z","priceCents":6,"iy":70120.58042100962,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T00:46:20.164Z","priceCents":7,"iy":59617.478660999666,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T01:00:56.068Z","priceCents":8,"iy":51667.897587395375,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T01:16:47.473Z","priceCents":9,"iy":45489.406576550675,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:02:04.984Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:31:40.388Z","priceCents":5,"iy":86482.1050006235,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T04:01:17.391Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T10:00:57.502Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 100000%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-RREE","reason":"Will Rachel Reeves be out as Chancellor before July 2026?: R"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-DLAM","reason":"Will David Lammy be out as Deputy PM before July 2026?: Davi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSTARMERCABLEAVE-26MAY-JREY","reason":"Will Jonathan Reynolds be out as Chief Whip before July 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Shabana%20Mahmood%20be%20out%20as%20Home%20Secretary%20before%20July%2020","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}