{"ticker":"KXSTATELEG-TXSENA26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the Texas Senate?","description":"If the Democratic party wins the Texas Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":7,"spread":3,"volume":9217.54,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1787.14,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":5,"edge":4,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-07-19T06:05:46.121Z","firstDetectedPrice":11}],"indicators":{"tauDays":436,"iyYes":2010.4515942468033,"iyNo":3.4903673511229227,"cri":24,"ee":2,"eeSource":"thesis","las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.475,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":355,"askDepthUsd":865,"volume24h":0,"sfEdgeCents":4,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-08-24T22:06:59.055Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSTATELEG-TXSENA26-R","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Texas Senate?: Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSTATELEG-TXSENA26","groupLabel":"KXSTATELEG-TXSENA26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T18:01:52.852Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1227.4420408379376,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T11:16:42.877Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1490.9008825015314,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T19:31:33.427Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1230.2491406901586,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T22:16:38.162Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1492.3702972044148,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T03:15:59.713Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1231.101992368675,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:01:20.973Z","priceCents":8,"iy":916.6528358912988,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:15:56.399Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1248.8006999981073,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T17:00:58.581Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1061.3079240573131,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T04:46:00.226Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1258.3640314007853,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:16:59.700Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1531.7910137872232,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T13:16:23.916Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1981.5776615573934,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2010%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 8c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXSTATELEG-TXSENA26-D","marketTitle":"Who will win the Texas Senate?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":8},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSTATELEG-TXSENA26-R","reason":"Who will win the Texas Senate?: Republican party"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%20Texas%20Senate%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":242}