{"ticker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-WATE","venue":"kalshi","title":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?","description":"If \n Jeff Probst says Water as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 11\n, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":90,"bestBid":89,"bestAsk":90,"spread":1,"volume":2268.97,"volume24h":2080.69,"openInterest":2129.56,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-21T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":16,"iyYes":281.688164536758,"iyNo":18440.09877103852,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0112,"cvr":null,"overround":6.28,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1171,"askDepthUsd":1031,"volume24h":2080.69},"computedAt":"2026-05-05T13:45:00.324Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-TRUS","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Trust","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-SIT","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Sit Out","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-DROP","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Drop / Dropped","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-JOUR","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Journey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-IMMU","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Immunity Idol","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-HUNG","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Hunger / Hungry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-MRBE","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: MrBeast / Beast","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-FALL","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Fallon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-COME","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Comeback / Come","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-TIE","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Tie / Tied","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-ALLI","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Alliance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-PUZZ","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Puzzle","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-KEY","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Key","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-FIRE","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Fire","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-ROPE","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Rope","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-SAFE","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Safe / Safety","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-DIG","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Dig Deep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-RECO","connectedTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?: Record / Longes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06","groupLabel":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T01:25:39.595Z","priceCents":62,"iy":3214.8904976758454,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T01:30:36.105Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2836.090185955855,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:00:36.711Z","priceCents":55,"iy":2411.411411411412,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:05:36.824Z","priceCents":57,"iy":2615.9018669027114,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:10:36.666Z","priceCents":55,"iy":2412.3241827237944,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:25:36.738Z","priceCents":56,"iy":2513.502080648494,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:30:37.101Z","priceCents":58,"iy":2727.6780077256285,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:35:39.189Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2842.998118749793,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:40:39.476Z","priceCents":61,"iy":3090.6097655772837,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:45:36.873Z","priceCents":62,"iy":3224.638920237566,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:50:36.762Z","priceCents":65,"iy":3671.037870875402,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T02:55:53.924Z","priceCents":66,"iy":3837.9795881301447,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T03:00:40.375Z","priceCents":69,"iy":4401.448449662528,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T03:40:35.211Z","priceCents":80,"iy":7921.866521975042,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T03:45:36.535Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8444.4165169531,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:00:38.658Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9028.984457959259,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:05:40.862Z","priceCents":83,"iy":9678.264397596324,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:55:49.307Z","priceCents":84,"iy":10426.869082598758,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T05:05:40.318Z","priceCents":85,"iy":11258.686698238163,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:05:44.089Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9071.841223076968,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:10:41.332Z","priceCents":83,"iy":9724.210539830901,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:00:54.817Z","priceCents":84,"iy":10476.46383467279,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:05:49.329Z","priceCents":85,"iy":11309.78419364246,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:50:43.677Z","priceCents":80,"iy":7997.370727432079,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:55:57.285Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8524.914433676371,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T18:56:05.969Z","priceCents":80,"iy":8205.012925705294,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T20:20:54.711Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8773.908269404837,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T20:50:53.809Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9386.27026687992,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:00:54.486Z","priceCents":83,"iy":10063.580435562522,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:10:57.359Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8790.76115235833,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:05:54.358Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9436.341738708232,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:15:53.986Z","priceCents":84,"iy":10879.130237311227,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:20:51.915Z","priceCents":83,"iy":10119.009843446775,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:25:54.599Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9443.844935410787,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:31:03.020Z","priceCents":84,"iy":10885.92853490882,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:45:53.893Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9451.360073766711,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T23:55:53.047Z","priceCents":84,"iy":10896.451722961447,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:05:55.371Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8851.769904880526,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:16:01.420Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9462.655234337453,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:40:57.564Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8863.871441634565,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:15:54.807Z","priceCents":80,"iy":8469.16874528685,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:20:48.646Z","priceCents":81,"iy":9027.921974814039,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:25:48.708Z","priceCents":82,"iy":9649.360363148662,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T15:15:53.401Z","priceCents":84,"iy":11307.311028500619,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T16:55:56.153Z","priceCents":86,"iy":13284.410813738932,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:25:50.014Z","priceCents":84,"iy":11367.681082043066,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:40:52.746Z","priceCents":85,"iy":12277.16111671712,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:45:49.314Z","priceCents":86,"iy":13312.016013435,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:51:03.348Z","priceCents":87,"iy":14505.298739265485,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:27:24.828Z","priceCents":89,"iy":17650.95821039877,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 282%","tight LAS 0.011","18 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 81c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-WATE","marketTitle":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":81},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-TRUS","reason":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-SIT","reason":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06-DROP","reason":"What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Jeff%20Probst%20say%20during%20Survivor%20Season%2050%20Episode%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4149}