{"ticker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-24","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","description":"If the general import tariff rate on imports from the European Union into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 20 to 29.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":10,"spread":4,"volume":1842.98,"volume24h":6,"openInterest":1217.32,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":58,"iyYes":9775.931434563088,"iyNo":39.82950788187768,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1919,"askDepthUsd":1371,"volume24h":6},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T16:09:25.545Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXIMPEACHCABINET-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of Sta","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIMPEACHCABINET-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of Sta","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIMPEACHCABINET-28JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of Sta","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIMPEACHCABINET-29JAN20","connectedTitle":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of Sta","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFTAPRC-29","connectedTitle":"Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?: Befo","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFTA-29","connectedTitle":"Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T80","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?: Above $80‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T100","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?: Above $100‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T125","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?: Above $125‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T150","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $150‎ billion?: Above $150‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T200","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $200‎ billion?: Above $200‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T250","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $250‎ billion?: Above $250‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JGRE","connectedTitle":"Will Jamieson Greer leaves United States Trade Representative in before 2027?: J","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPTARIFFHEAR-27JAN-X","connectedTitle":"What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027?: a case primari","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","connectedTitle":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1, 20","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","connectedTitle":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 20","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on Canadi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-MINE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on critic","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-WIND","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind t","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-FILM","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on foreig","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFBILL-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Jul 1, ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFBILL-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Jan 1, ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONON-26MAY04-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will ON Semiconductor Corporation say during their next earnings call?: Tar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONMCD-26MAY07-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will McDonald's Corporation say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONLYFT-26MAY07-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONRACE-26MAY05-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Ferrari N.V. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?: Below 10%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-55","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Be","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Above 60%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?: Below 10%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-55","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Be","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Above 60%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 10% and 19.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 30% and 39.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 40% and 49.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-55","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?: Below 10%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Above 60%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDISAPPROVETARIFF-JUL26-GLOB","connectedTitle":"Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits global tariffs imposed by t","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDISAPPROVETARIFF-JUL26-BR","connectedTitle":"Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the Pres","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDISAPPROVETARIFF-JUL26-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the Pres","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWTARIFFS-26MAY-JUN01","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWDEAL-JUN01","connectedTitle":"When will Trump announce a new trade deal?: Before Jun 1, 2026","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOCHULMENTION-26APR29B-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Kathy Hochul say during next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement?: Tari","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfa772932032462681258298f5b3471dd5f2f5ee514b51558db05a39556d5e97f","connectedTitle":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc451f03563e65567ee326fcaf2128915afa777cb31805c40ddae0a19cf1013f7","connectedTitle":"Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1b3f1f2bec1c92ff851c9b02c3c8bbc320e5aac7bc371ad0f615c5521a4494e7","connectedTitle":"100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfd1be18abbc39bdf1b16659499488e584e6c06c7b1959b425b5fb4b046d01a33","connectedTitle":"Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T06:05:53.330Z","priceCents":2,"iy":23560.174939403514,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:50:32.566Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16999.649491763055,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:10:25.004Z","priceCents":2,"iy":28429.95437854679,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:01:00.071Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6938.131208780311,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:06:00.407Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9452.571837892938,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:16:04.588Z","priceCents":7,"iy":8016.938424622592,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:16:01.661Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6958.4894400053045,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T15:00:42.897Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9604.187660956219,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 9776%","63 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIMPEACHCABINET-26JUL01","reason":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice Preside"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIMPEACHCABINET-27JAN01","reason":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice Preside"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIMPEACHCABINET-28JAN01","reason":"Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice Preside"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20tariff%20rate%20on%20the%20European%20Union%20imports%20be%20betwee","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2211}