{"ticker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-T4.54","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.54 on May 1, 2026?","description":"If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.54 % on May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":3,"spread":3,"volume":25,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":25,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-01T19:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":1,"iyYes":100000,"iyNo":2092.649925467263,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.32,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T21:23:13.711Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.26","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.25 and 4.27 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.29","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.28 and 4.30 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.32","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.31 and 4.33 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.35","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.34 and 4.36 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.38","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.37 and 4.39 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.41","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.40 and 4.42 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.44","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.43 and 4.45 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.47","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.46 and 4.48 on May 1,","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTNOTEW-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTNOTEW-26MAY01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:40:11.630Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T04:05:11.629Z","priceCents":5,"iy":100000,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 100000%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.40)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.26","reason":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.29","reason":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTNOTEW-26MAY01-B4.32","reason":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20yield%20of%2010-year%20U.S.%20treasury%20notes%20be%20above%204.54%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2282}