{"ticker":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-JOE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Joe Mantello win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?","description":"If Joe Mantello has won Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":71,"bestBid":71,"bestAsk":72,"spread":1,"volume":3115.82,"volume24h":4,"openInterest":2503.02,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":232,"iyYes":64.36321160568733,"iyNo":385.79661082552883,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0141,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":4785,"askDepthUsd":2098,"volume24h":4},"computedAt":"2026-05-14T00:03:30.667Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-NIC","connectedTitle":"Will Nicholas Hytner win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?: Nich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP","groupLabel":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-ROB","connectedTitle":"Will Robert Icke win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?: Robert I","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP","groupLabel":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-KEN","connectedTitle":"Will Kenny Leon win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?: Kenny Leo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP","groupLabel":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-WHI","connectedTitle":"Will Whitney White win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?: Whitne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP","groupLabel":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?: Tie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP","groupLabel":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:20:42.086Z","priceCents":25,"iy":458.1072431147946,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:36:14.171Z","priceCents":31,"iy":339.9599769175477,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:21:25.978Z","priceCents":33,"iy":310.14116591011486,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:25:42.682Z","priceCents":32,"iy":324.61078094919225,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:20:48.538Z","priceCents":34,"iy":296.73268856075157,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:20:49.480Z","priceCents":37,"iy":260.46011562186425,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:56:12.128Z","priceCents":39,"iy":239.3669831815264,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T14:55:21.690Z","priceCents":41,"iy":220.68793352983977,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:21:23.903Z","priceCents":40,"iy":230.13677900984436,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:50:24.547Z","priceCents":41,"iy":220.80018767246975,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:05:50.728Z","priceCents":42,"iy":214.0747742861107,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T06:10:35.742Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.5662661459186,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T06:45:19.485Z","priceCents":44,"iy":197.38997150785855,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T06:50:29.546Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.59072376235468,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T12:10:21.166Z","priceCents":44,"iy":197.57970659220248,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T18:10:27.669Z","priceCents":45,"iy":189.94120574582794,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:05:23.137Z","priceCents":46,"iy":182.56034633670578,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:15:27.501Z","priceCents":47,"iy":175.3724977123159,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:35:30.028Z","priceCents":48,"iy":168.48897524614662,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:55:30.550Z","priceCents":49,"iy":161.88603536185857,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:05:23.688Z","priceCents":48,"iy":168.53421759632204,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:10:33.745Z","priceCents":49,"iy":161.9219152766086,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:15:22.269Z","priceCents":50,"iy":155.5746886375067,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:00:36.311Z","priceCents":52,"iy":168.77159885213976,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:05:35.661Z","priceCents":53,"iy":175.67939658917703,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:10:33.860Z","priceCents":57,"iy":206.51739312216176,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:15:31.676Z","priceCents":59,"iy":224.19398177360702,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:20:31.993Z","priceCents":60,"iy":233.69771680532017,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:25:42.596Z","priceCents":62,"iy":254.20077165604104,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:30:29.463Z","priceCents":64,"iy":276.9833477990733,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:36:11.594Z","priceCents":66,"iy":302.4452491237374,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:46:16.505Z","priceCents":68,"iy":331.09579100145146,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:55:52.640Z","priceCents":69,"iy":346.81278567988863,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T09:00:47.941Z","priceCents":70,"iy":363.5732347487787,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T09:05:57.013Z","priceCents":71,"iy":381.48813198738605,"cri":2.448}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.014","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 64c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-JOE","marketTitle":"Will Joe Mantello win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Tony Awards?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":64},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-NIC","reason":"Will Nicholas Hytner win Best Direction of a Play at the 79t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-ROB","reason":"Will Robert Icke win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th To"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAP-KEN","reason":"Will Kenny Leon win Best Direction of a Play at the 79th Ton"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Joe%20Mantello%20win%20Best%20Direction%20of%20a%20Play%20at%20the%2079th%20T","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":114}