{"ticker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026?","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":9,"spread":7,"volume":10013.63,"volume24h":113,"openInterest":4325.63,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":5,"iyYes":100000,"iyNo":226.9989904245814,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2019,"askDepthUsd":11599,"volume24h":113},"computedAt":"2026-04-26T05:23:06.904Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","connectedTitle":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1, 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","connectedTitle":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T19:50:23.132Z","priceCents":9,"iy":25737.886571975425,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:00:23.935Z","priceCents":10,"iy":23054.249421012002,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:31:07.579Z","priceCents":9,"iy":25938.681160778437,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:30:44.905Z","priceCents":8,"iy":30208.708168405905,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T07:45:20.741Z","priceCents":7,"iy":37758.20068742283,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T06:05:47.772Z","priceCents":5,"iy":58218.603089321674,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:05:58.160Z","priceCents":4,"iy":80278.59237536657,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:11:01.613Z","priceCents":5,"iy":63577.19105243857,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:25:35.949Z","priceCents":4,"iy":80381.72141677371,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:35:11.041Z","priceCents":5,"iy":64662.004662004656,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:05:33.372Z","priceCents":4,"iy":83795.67629615458,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:25:31.707Z","priceCents":5,"iy":67232.18613669412,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:40:32.148Z","priceCents":4,"iy":86059.5343353964,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:46.387Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:05:28.596Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:05:27.145Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:35:21.226Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:05:23.490Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:05:20.834Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:55:22.640Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T01:05:22.354Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:00:21.100Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:15:33.337Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T05:05:47.506Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:15:42.922Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:30:30.402Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:20:46.606Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:45:22.200Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T09:30:14.043Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T10:25:14.509Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T12:05:14.191Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T14:55:15.285Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T19:50:16.283Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T22:00:24.782Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T22:35:13.618Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T00:40:22.435Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T12:11:03.883Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T13:05:57.959Z","priceCents":5,"iy":100000,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T17:05:58.957Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T18:05:58.599Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T18:40:39.477Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T19:30:30.320Z","priceCents":5,"iy":100000,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T20:25:33.026Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T21:25:36.445Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T22:20:30.570Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T22:45:32.179Z","priceCents":5,"iy":100000,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T01:20:30.535Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T01:55:28.969Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T03:45:48.795Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T04:40:43.435Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 100000%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 8c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260501","marketTitle":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before May 1, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":8},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B260801","reason":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 202"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","reason":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 202"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20announce%20a%20trade%20deal%20with%20Cuba%20before%20May%201%2C%20202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1746}