{"ticker":"KXTRADEDEALCUBA-27-B270101","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":18,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":18,"spread":5,"volume":62273.51,"volume24h":135.45,"openInterest":25752.77,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":98,"iyYes":2495.905002342244,"iyNo":55.72835848802211,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3077,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":3139,"askDepthUsd":2218,"volume24h":135.45},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T08:34:44.558Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T17:32:39.392Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2240.319615211854,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T18:17:30.460Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2045.0352109274625,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T19:16:02.182Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2241.6705051435592,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T20:16:14.276Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2046.4401093239176,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:16:12.526Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1879.084869505667,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:30:59.223Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2753.3085800973927,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:46:12.484Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2475.404077234741,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T22:02:09.304Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1879.5731889872218,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T05:47:06.622Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1738.5773645913011,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T15:03:53.645Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1890.8271691203045,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T08:31:13.794Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1755.0111862517997,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T16:01:12.616Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2794.7932618683003,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T20:16:10.308Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2516.2801037650866,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T21:16:14.543Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2800.0102283478664,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T22:16:10.495Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2518.0608954483446,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T22:31:02.818Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2801.25182273235,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T23:31:22.229Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2519.177856981112,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T00:16:19.701Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2802.9966893068026,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T01:16:12.087Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2520.7475721751684,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T02:31:10.528Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2805.2227526194893,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T03:16:11.733Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2522.556242093959,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T04:16:36.285Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2806.996556409095,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T11:30:57.819Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2529.9686606313985,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T12:31:04.417Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2815.2477589428036,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T13:31:05.144Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2531.790592042298,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T16:16:23.007Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2819.016562258646,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T16:46:03.948Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2297.39047341121,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T18:01:08.291Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2298.4162967160983,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T19:16:02.304Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2536.988804760808,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T21:31:12.672Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2301.30139597,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T21:46:01.877Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2539.2574596794684,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T22:01:14.615Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2301.7169719379713,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-07T07:01:01.893Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2547.7132538341184,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T07:16:00.925Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2858.8834254384055,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T00:16:02.285Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2364.6091916452438,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T09:16:11.462Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2617.5816720130283,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T09:46:03.164Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2372.910405640612,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T10:01:10.356Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2618.301106642272,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T14:16:06.148Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2376.871823560927,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T22:16:10.066Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2175.5364336411717,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T22:31:08.202Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2384.1547236251026,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-11T00:46:21.159Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2632.655955588873,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-11T06:31:07.985Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2391.247379454927,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-12T20:31:16.549Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2676.12282238074,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:28.631Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2306.9512935781677,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T13:31:20.055Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2142.6387152085704,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T16:31:04.083Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2337.0796770848433,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T14:32:09.189Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2477.3253156044575,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-25T01:01:11.916Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2726.701641793579,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-25T02:01:03.654Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2489.393326497399,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2496%"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7","illiquid (LAS 0.31)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20announce%20a%20trade%20deal%20with%20Cuba%20before%20Jan%201%2C%20202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}