{"ticker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T170","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170‎ billion?","description":"If US trade deficit for 2026 is above 170‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":95,"bestBid":90,"bestAsk":95,"spread":5,"volume":2451.97,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":822.4,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-28T13:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":234,"iyYes":17.356653066659053,"iyNo":1405.888898399384,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.06,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.432,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":2899,"askDepthUsd":1313,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"unknown","asPrior":0.35},"computedAt":"2026-07-09T21:58:22.525Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?: 105‎","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6‎ billion and 119.9‎ billion?: 11","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120‎ billion and 139.9‎ billion?: 120‎","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140‎ billion and 170‎ billion?: 140‎ b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B49.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion?: 45‎ bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B59.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion?: 55‎ bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion?: 65‎ bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B79.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion?: 75‎ bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion?: 85‎ bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B99.95","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95‎ billion and 104.9‎ billion?: 95‎ b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T45","connectedTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45‎ billion?: Below 45‎ billion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28","groupLabel":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T08:15:28.405Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1117.7065219560432,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:30:42.165Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1256.8197295828966,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T11:31:07.942Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1131.1319118827873,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T06:02:24.413Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1261.9568975452348,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T14:30:31.957Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1136.0270422346075,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T12:15:26.675Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1879.1966372095897,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:45:27.370Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1430.974799075457,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T04:02:00.216Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1276.2535257232105,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T08:46:07.814Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1434.9194993528502,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T09:15:43.714Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1277.3353656639813,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T09:30:31.112Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1435.0868915624758,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T09:46:04.074Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1277.4396764597232,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T10:00:30.951Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1435.2040893486385,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T10:30:27.136Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1277.5936902039484,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T10:46:23.908Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1435.3827132644235,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:01:43.257Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1156.8901112872375,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:30:56.982Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1446.3408208631893,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:15:56.318Z","priceCents":96,"iy":3466.327947862626,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:30:45.015Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1168.8131787868595,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:45:34.151Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1460.709487465341,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T07:02:01.144Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1189.508886804965,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:16:23.305Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1487.077890825247,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T20:01:00.911Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2810.787587951101,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T16:00:58.672Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1200.997917062563,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T16:16:07.673Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2820.435652584143,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T16:46:09.920Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1201.1493466612783,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T17:01:07.629Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2820.791285849672,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T17:31:05.306Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1201.3008144512587,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T17:45:59.074Z","priceCents":96,"iy":3563.5541163931593,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T18:01:07.186Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1201.4034433698323,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T18:15:59.171Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2821.3880334091373,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T19:02:12.950Z","priceCents":96,"iy":3564.322595608068,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T19:15:57.865Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2821.8702061775944,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T01:01:21.934Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1337.9819891739542,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T07:16:00.630Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1224.071150996157,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T09:16:10.112Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1362.075828440641,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T15:30:59.825Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1225.8189893455444,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T15:47:06.624Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1363.6137216484578,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T18:31:17.459Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1226.4553420747618,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T15:31:05.146Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1398.3781367728757,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T00:01:54.526Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1259.0304477241723,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T17:02:04.623Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1404.7346184766436,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:02:40.470Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1263.5176159287623,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:32:39.022Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1405.6121794048936,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:01:02.693Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1263.7392989660564,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:30:58.902Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1405.85881497015,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 86c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T170","marketTitle":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170‎ billion?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":86},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25","reason":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75","reason":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6‎ billion and"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95","reason":"Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120‎ billion and 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20US%20trade%20deficit%20for%202026%20be%20above%20170%E2%80%8E%20billion%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":129}