{"ticker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":13,"spread":9,"volume":28618,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":10935,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk","thesisSlug":"russia-escalates-ukraine","thesisPrice":3,"edge":6,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-03T06:04:03.694Z","firstDetectedPrice":9}],"indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":3444.6690207859815,"iyNo":5.980328161086774,"cri":24,"ee":6,"eeSource":"regime","las":2.25,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.68,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.525,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":9023,"askDepthUsd":5183,"volume24h":0,"sfEdgeCents":6,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:44:16.729Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6","connectedTitle":"Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at lea","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANIMPORTS-27FEB01-T5000000","connectedTitle":"Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?: in 2026","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26MAY","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before May","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUN","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before June","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before July","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?: Before August","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before September","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before 2027","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-28","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before 2028","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-29JAN20","connectedTitle":"Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before Jan 20, 2029","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTRPAH","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump meet in person Reza Pahlavi before Jan 1, 2027?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","connectedTitle":"Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?: Be","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAHLAVIVISITA-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH","connectedTitle":"Who will be the next the head of state or government of Iran?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANEMBASSY-27","connectedTitle":"Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?: Before 2027","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXELECTIRAN-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will Iran hold a presidential election before Jul 1, 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2026","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXELECTIRAN-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Iran hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONTSLA-26APR22-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Tesla, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONGEV-26APR22-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will GE Vernova Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26APR22-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will The Boeing Company say during their next earnings call?: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26RO16-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCIRAN-26","connectedTitle":"Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026: Yes","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: JD Vance","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-RPAH","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Jared Kushner","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-BNET","connectedTitle":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Benjamin Netanyahu","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-ASEN","connectedTitle":"Will any U.S. Senator visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Any U.S. Senator","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVISITIRAN-26JUL01-AHOU","connectedTitle":"Will any U.S. House member visit Iran before Jul 1, 2026?: Any U.S. House member","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPQUAL-26G-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify from World Cup Group G?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran finish first in World Cup Group G?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN26EGYIRI-EGY","connectedTitle":"Egypt vs IR Iran Winner?: Egypt","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRI","connectedTitle":"Egypt vs IR Iran Winner?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN26EGYIRI-TIE","connectedTitle":"Egypt vs IR Iran Winner?: Tie","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN21BELIRI-BEL","connectedTitle":"Belgium vs IR Iran Winner?: Belgium","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN21BELIRI-IRI","connectedTitle":"Belgium vs IR Iran Winner?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN21BELIRI-TIE","connectedTitle":"Belgium vs IR Iran Winner?: Tie","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN15IRINZL-IRI","connectedTitle":"IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner?: IR Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN15IRINZL-NZL","connectedTitle":"IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner?: New Zealand","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGAME-26JUN15IRINZL-TIE","connectedTitle":"IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner?: Tie","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260501","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260515","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260701","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260901","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B261001","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270401","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270701","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFIFATRAVEL-26JUN11","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on revoking, terminating, or rescin","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAY07-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will the White House Press Secretary say Iran (5+ times) at her next press brief","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAY07-HORM","connectedTitle":"Will the White House Press Secretary say Hormuz at her next press briefing?: Hor","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-MAKE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Make Iran Great Again\" before May 1, 2026?: Make Iran Great Agai","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMEET-26APR-RPAH","connectedTitle":"Donald Trump and Reza Pahlavi meet before May 1, 2026?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSTARMERMENTIONB-26APR22-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Keir Starmer say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of C","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMAMDANIMENTION-26APR22-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Iran ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOCHULMENTION-26APR22B-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Kathy Hochul say during next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement?: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26APR-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Powell say Iran at his Apr 2026 press conference?: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T30","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T40","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T50","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T60","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T70","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 70 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T80","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 80 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T90","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 90 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 2","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T100","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 100 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T120","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 120 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T140","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 140 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T160","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T180","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T200","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCANDACEMENTION-26APR21B-HORM","connectedTitle":"What will Candace Owens say during next Candace Owens livestream?: Hormuz","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26APR23-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Howard Lutnick say during Budget Hearing - Department of Commerce?: Ir","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR22-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump Jr. say during Turning Point Tour at Baylor University?: ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR21C-HORM","connectedTitle":"What will Kash Patel say during Press Conference on April 21st?: Hormuz","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR21C-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Kash Patel say during Press Conference on April 21st?: Iran / Iranian","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR21-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Vivek Ramaswamy say during Turning Point Tour at Ohio State University","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26APR21-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatoria","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x84edef36bded182da6a395ac6c785dba8f3e09b6c5ad041385b2042536cbef25","connectedTitle":"2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","connectedTitle":"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9","connectedTitle":"US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x765e5daae966128da2acac8edab65d23abcabcf8958563a490d24c3498812c85","connectedTitle":"Iran nuclear test before 2027?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca","connectedTitle":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8bdeac60c92d3bc494792fd334ca181b0cf70355f23dca4098d558280b554c81","connectedTitle":"Iran Nuke before 2027?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5bf2c54fb4ca9d63427816cd88ab8f7b5ede5b2b9166c366a940f1a0d6d0a290","connectedTitle":"FIFA World Cup Group G Winner: Iran","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633","connectedTitle":"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","connectedTitle":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?: December 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7dca1c4307dddce4d21198ee7297585da0d2c9300019cad78d2b671fae0b3dca","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a","connectedTitle":"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b","connectedTitle":"Iran coup attempt by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3285179b99df57b0390e480f8e69d340e5fa38496b263225df90ef389e2958f4","connectedTitle":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?: December 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe00f84278d7ec49668b4f9f6c6d0a437663cdcf0e330fdb3789c649f8a29fdc8","connectedTitle":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xefc69f5f48827e331957acbcc2339eb3b15e27e32453b8e6f29b5de67474c986","connectedTitle":"Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7","connectedTitle":" Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0c38dd9305e3205557885183f0730270779e7e426b0ec3e7743f23963b6d6e4a","connectedTitle":"Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8ed9ef25fbd07f6447cf8677b825b333df5daf684c95cbea6570e079b952b642","connectedTitle":"Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a25","connectedTitle":"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?: April 15","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x136f5a0c27a62cf9a2e40a4f48425e43d61b9571a53a2529372c0065f3218a73","connectedTitle":"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd73f60114a0e7169a55082daef1228cb27fa50c939eea22cb0589f6bac6ce5d3","connectedTitle":"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?: May 15","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5","connectedTitle":"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?: April 7","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4","connectedTitle":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc84dfa2ab4a808d1b96a2cf439f8b88a1c5c37762253280deb7663a195d9b859","connectedTitle":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x57c1e8de9d359a76055fe1be95e46a1e72d0537811dcc2ccf070cdfa73d8ba33","connectedTitle":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3","connectedTitle":"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?: April 21","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0b6425132f3834b7ded2a8fb83eb8a24a60574735ab6ed5b57597650adcc071c","connectedTitle":"Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6397f084bcee3390e92b0a4f8d0f1fa23ddabad1668c4a6783f5643564f646d6","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: No Head of State","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xae6d228c3a89c04f5d48b130c86416b146ee3fdc19c6f201603d9c9682dca3ea","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Muhammad Mirbaqiri","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1c3443745a19b5da3775711dae0bc72056c9a816ccb1c8f6748e304608bd9762","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Sadegh Larijani","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe19caac25967e1c4b09254ebe6f152dde51fe9468cf1def1deb3c22089083adf","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Hassan Khomeini","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe6eb21883f57c3047cf7be1d7cff4554fbb82067e374bd07c53242170f57851f","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7d9928e23aefb2209696048829b614f49e387d5a77327aa887d0724952fd1156","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Hassan Shariatmadari","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x370c146544d0fb7db1d77767473c8a6fbdf08b9914c827712d49449b0eb7f4aa","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Maryam Rajavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x17a0a4c8d29c95bf6f3e3576fc603faf29ae681a0924719cf27a89ec46efa185","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Massoud Rajavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x821f357da390a32347e4df0c3fb0aa4a8eadf4af72730c8dc7a7f1ab58798a02","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Seyed Hossein Mousavian","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x68617ef6b6488a6a4753c9d57604764831a9448fb8aa7dee205bb2311e3b949d","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Reza Pirzadeh","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb937d98fe645987a6ccd495928ffbf753537b6c8ef4214bbbf4ee4dd32cec96f","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Navid Shomali","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2883a5f83ea4b394d1b0acae4179f4ed4cb35111c9b996bb5099927bb846e2ea","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mustafa Hijri","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x73d9b98f619d738cca001cfde25654d409a132f0eb565ae98972b62b123a4da0","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Ali Motahari","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb74991507f427043b7ee95a235b6920f1cf698e32333d98b7b4602787ef981a3","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaa53ce562be767321e2f0cba9f7b3207fde7d2204dbb7f9b5d804996eba7de7c","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mostafa Pourmohammadi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xce9edcb8be64fadb0c83a6be6bc4efec26eaab5a9e05bcfca5c70c700c7b0942","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Sadegh Mahsouli","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb10aa376c96281d85f8d93e69107bb37aedb1bc2b953e24718836aee1bb64f3f","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Masoud Pezeshkian","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6ab0ce92e138eec9776d055e052140ff284f885fb8a54c74a944316e4a2e4d80","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Saeed Jalili","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa62f1bf829a121000d61acafed2689cdaa1488253e420214112103dcffab2fde","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Hassan Rouhani","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb174c3e769e52b51681b154172468f89c685b9fe24c4b0ef3ef5f8c3b511c3a0","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4266ab921148974f104cbadd099e13bca989441bf58acfd2a08fc6cc7440e1a1","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mohammad Khatami","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa1b6ebba4e86fe9bfb2c206dba71be111d2e1047d7b74125eb223c1b3da7ebd6","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Alireza Arafi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x504088e48d1e39815d24709930eda874ad3b69a1ed2b1cd2e3f480981410f71c","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Abbas Araghchi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9bc5b4e8a866be23195ae675ec7c3ca2e4fece72c80fffe82a7d69726f9dfc61","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Ahmad Vahidi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf6270788587ee0a37c2e56635bdeb7df06d54e32b5e0b0c932369ed6f2e948b0","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mohsen Araki","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xba797b6b0de81c3be8abf2492bde5fd033c179063447681ecfefe80b1956db18","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Nasir Hosseini","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfa0834c8af9d40d1b13db4f616a624d64cf499c2903f9e884c25e651eedb1820","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x01110879441e6376a69dc318c4c8f9cbb4f6eef394d3563b6925ce17db809404","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Ali Asghar Hejazi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0df7e873042bebb09fbe24562069f28670c6b9366cab653fe15e030173cbc18c","connectedTitle":"Iran leader end of 2026?: Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c083","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x91467d5c49b5e06a68d101c3ea2e227ffd76215060d93381aca203ee26cf2d06","connectedTitle":"Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x83f38b0110a93a4e68d2391dc70868ab1f8a9a074de58b0ef50d5312e3fcfcf7","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Benjamin Netanyahu","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x80590117819c7b4a2be045d98f7be8247fa13162830e5540bec140d14829e9eb","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x584c9773bd54965e7c1b4c7ca6dd6ec7a7ee47632f41f877be179aeb3c9006be","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Any U.S. House member","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaa2d85a0f668d96c7d7efc1c9ca736119b6d230a439daea9998be032e4ce007d","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Any U.S. Senator","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x77eafa497fe8ff7a41f540e2920e8897540b01f06b82477d168c4a21a7f9e57a","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: JD Vance","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb7c3eb14951b4bdbca17460231d502acd843e5a1b2fa4b2e784fc4e86f4e61d8","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x52f23b60032d6e63721bb64c06077c783c97c0c44a31073b8027f31865eff2b5","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Donald Trump","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9c9c61a05eb70ddd796283b86db07efd0c07a4d29b48870987f1c8279217f783","connectedTitle":"Who will enter Iran by June 30?: Jared Kushner","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfacf7578441650ec19a86bf2d9c264744bb9180f80ad603c65204aa203bd1755","connectedTitle":"Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x15fcf94587789dcd26efd4a31a1dbc8ff80c3c0bbfed1ca7eb90a054fda6efbf","connectedTitle":"Kurds declare independence from Iran?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x98c1246f7cfc5c63ba30e7d71ce93144f56e96e374dcb0bbe36d022df8cd89e6","connectedTitle":"US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0ce2da6193ffc43d329fe5bb3e895fb7c0019e37b09c6778e7442c91c32b6f82","connectedTitle":"Internet Access restored in Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5b4be999538e689a0f20055c215e5df11df4da7a6ca7a4bcd8b913ae922d6efb","connectedTitle":"Internet Access restored in Iran by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb582fa41361aa4c9faea522e821cf0ec09783594fca42ef6c8aceb14445eafec","connectedTitle":"Internet Access restored in Iran by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","connectedTitle":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc298e10d0f16a83e58cb9e7ccce729bdd36f1ea39f1c1336dc71e3b98f5a3258","connectedTitle":"Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe6939069d36ad63a9f7fcafa91b627a3f373a3264ab0347c1a5e042c5f7d1f08","connectedTitle":"Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607","connectedTitle":"Iran leadership change by...?: December 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793","connectedTitle":"Iran leadership change by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7","connectedTitle":"Iran leadership change by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb196a122933da9aff6cb8b0f3764d0dc5db1859f46c0481c711521eee8524291","connectedTitle":"Iran leadership change by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669","connectedTitle":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd08544f6162283dc8d0a82f16362aab837a8537379df9bbe604960eec9cd4618","connectedTitle":"US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x29c2de5369cd1d7a4567fd1e025a5d722d50993b6b9599538282e98fabbdbbef","connectedTitle":"Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xabef6d91adc036f3c2e0fa52f72dd0654ee8fba07974e06ec762a27c37b58e9f","connectedTitle":"Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x12e3cc1640a58ee52e0ce2237c95ffefb7f543d65c0061043f23c803b215f099","connectedTitle":"Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x791f879219f18977b17076657b4d9952c1961e525039019155563f6b6d85bd68","connectedTitle":"Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc41436a8fdcf3e8adff61fcf0b4688e0652e718f401111b3090c0ce5e45a5ffc","connectedTitle":"Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x736c6ee8646407a815d7fe30cf857c58b10733785c46ccd9cad8b7526cb69d57","connectedTitle":"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xeeb71597cd6d814eaecc93acebf5aed5122f6e20bc1d2ae5c0a23419d9481683","connectedTitle":"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x01ffd0acf0d6e42558a7cbd521efde937166a1bf09f3a2dfcdf36950c2dd3635","connectedTitle":"US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa78ecba9c4273564cce4b810db46bb36cc35db9cd52fc4e067c77f85af1c1048","connectedTitle":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e","connectedTitle":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1","connectedTitle":"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0b99844286b27cd3eca1764d1699d72be941500be9930450faff1d6f25d0eda0","connectedTitle":"Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x84dbc9b70121e40e84a05a0d3b8c1d3bc2f35d4da87b8082d11c99c58f124891","connectedTitle":"Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?: May 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb0a9e9c70cd5bff7feb2b7038ff7e37412b07a8bcfc2e4aff1568aff77641cc4","connectedTitle":"Will Iran legalize gay marriage?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2d859e9b62672ab0e90238495c1799f37759f8a2e96b67e240ddbf679428e7c8","connectedTitle":"Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?: April 15","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9a8757bf4ecee8ba364603c3195d63c37c4d2700b69f8e4c5f751850bc330c9a","connectedTitle":"Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf8c728188acbf83a516cb43dd3e456e77c7fac0a56d4bc41c9bb6138cdbee093","connectedTitle":"Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd7610229878d804b66c5cf44228809cfc2b24c641f78328e895bf049b4a2bd64","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Safaniya Field","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x14d4b7687586f20713394670dd33875138c1b8107f62f54a6b3869c7d1b1c861","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Ras Tanura","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4e17f3846c38119d3dbff86e941fc0ab731da419b53a2902f2d8437c1a96996a","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Dimona (Shimon Pere","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x12b07f4fa02263c8d93c220e006b26b7e072c1ac54597ac5be6e4aab052927ae","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Abqaiq oil processi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x57ae5837e3900362a24a8d9759305aae5fe5f25603fb7fcf6775427d7d291e90","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Habshan Field/Proce","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbf245f51ee0cb5020ffc948b2e63d86ca112c2691665a043a2e139f0c9d4d1f1","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Ruwais Refinery","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7bef807e978da71d28edc0531e88d3785f1b8b2e1bc4a0f9d052fa155acdf901","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Al Zour Refinery","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Ras Laffan Industri","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6f94ad47610b2f7540c94382082fb6f5fc1a5e648d63bac79924fe695935642c","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Burj Khalifa","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd9d52e0b74b192632960a84367a760f86ecb33c83222a830f485fe4212443c7d","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Ghawar Field","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3b241d9921d31de05f282846afd93fd4c891fa8091fecc482dd15e84a45e3c90","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Leviathan Field","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x089088fca7abba25c9d5ef3b4801a5d7f159bbd240c534da3698da1da0f2030b","connectedTitle":"What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?: Khurais Field","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf578bfe8d63c0babdb74afe7f963c8669f1ae85bee15bad5e215da95578c0d8e","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: UK","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6fe563f7ddb74081e8155c8edf8624ba97bbaf40795363ec9a876900332a13ae","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Jordan","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x84e2ec75534af1f02303437b23600af319e04455451dc9c817e528e9a4d861b3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Canada","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x04b2c5bb2bf39f222b0d57f27ffae2e817d6aecaf42668ba2645ed95f5b08fa6","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Qatar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbaa4a5fd5f10279ea0680d579750e55f918260473a6786dc38846021a3371d1d","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Saudi Ar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8630fdefbfe6098c0a9426d7d75c48369071484f8df9a240b51e54649ef0fde6","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Kuwait","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x858071dbcd97be6e31f8467cba92fcb09d1d767d46da407e4434438a188b04a2","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: UAE","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x23c42a5357013e6f0dfb99d4f8816d56b655d354d50f853259ce794748d0e5b6","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: France","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xeb5d927fd4547c17e7d089eb398abb7de55a8cfd6af50498c121eeb5fe2561cd","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Turkey","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1e7e748cebf819c1f1acfd0eabac97bab0a9898da135a30965599ce40e4f5e24","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Germany","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x697430ef10e2fd5b8de83ab5d24034b792692d0e04c1b3f1fff236350e71cdce","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Bahrain","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xccbfe9aaeeb3639ebae86443370a955d5273ee47e43bd765bbd0a7306d3bce3a","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Oman","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x814ecf7cff5c5aaaeb9d7f60388d03bd7106d94be31e60b02ac2ca01715843c6","connectedTitle":"Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?: Any E.U.","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe630d562fb3ba4dcae627e7b75935efbcfff38f457ca131cff233712e1fd1b2b","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump talk to in April?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x53c4945996f0e347217c12ebad5b865a1f025238765d5296c013e13fe19047ac","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump meet with in April?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xad7a1dda9ec1584e254d12b920263e6c430367398a78aaa1d4f57c8480b12d2e","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 30-40","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xec2e8d1e956a8d240e292e2a7c535a7f8377d24b7c714d692a2a62809bd48e51","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 50-60","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0a2d679061801f07c1ec866fe3b0a699b76a79553d004fd8ce1d43ea9bf8454d","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 10-20","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 0-10","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd30ed4299e3ff89e3b413a80cf9ab482356749157d983698a0249af6831f31b1","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 20-30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc177484dab86c7fed3764706cd348ca1b6eebe4592ed10befc447e592ff4c135","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 40-50","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd799fb4562c80d6d088ab93a5b5f04b1a12ade5cc4f4c874ecfb94bd08c23f82","connectedTitle":"Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 60+","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xda1b8fb9630e1495cfd0c6fae52a9ffcbbe2701c5366c666b8ec5709f789485f","connectedTitle":"Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 80+","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x90bfaf5467d56bc60c35dbc373aabb15b0cefe5c04df56a7b16abe581750ae20","connectedTitle":"Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 60+","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x471e2fa06bd8975b77be49a36781bc41286d57bffa84de55173f4eacdbd52b28","connectedTitle":"Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 40+","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208","connectedTitle":"How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?: 6–7","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x87560f2f8315e681cf44e36d2b1e6bb52c1475f6d109976afd17e28122535eb2","connectedTitle":"How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?: 8–9","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x062665fd43dd992de43e8d317ced9135252d2cbca5bacf35633e98237abd023f","connectedTitle":"How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?: 10+","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x699093850ff73cf30baa4c571272900c3162932f9745400256a6455d6b2d0789","connectedTitle":"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?: ↑ 1.8M","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x05fc999a78a3a9bec241be1451810216bc912bcbf24d4fc586f8c482b372ba52","connectedTitle":"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?: ↑ 1.7M","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x89ff7fd3cfe024900e97d8d9b42f6abe985bbd6e759ba9e68758c8fe8571be66","connectedTitle":"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?: ↓ 1.5M","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1dbb01766f4e32919b3659e5066ad2b61a1e545e4d9403496cb22988baa30168","connectedTitle":"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?: ↓ 1.4M","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcc7268859768e6b3c8a5e4961a81d1423e8ec621c1efa8bde1195c8b567b5e26","connectedTitle":"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?: ↓ 1.3M","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf651028e673b09944a25df2462347f627a0128c85146cfb2c1be709338435f46","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Turkey","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb9a84730cf46ce0c1b1ab93562ca7ef7157ec2496982f9cdb1454f3e06d5c45c","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Cyprus","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe6a8bdcd0a55507e718303dbc04373821a35433b4a71de55ee759f10ee6be798","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Qatar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xeae88eea8b1f8ed3a5fdca58dc30a17cdb5846e63f97b9b4865a85d7c43351d6","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Afghanistan","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x935336fb4ec0967091d388593e4e9a14baf7174d30a0fd5dcf8efe47b9e9fdbf","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Pakistan","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3bc499961c7f6275d809b53cd9c0ec366c8e871b7d665365754344fc114ed0b2","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Yemen","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9ab7b9ae3916af18d595447d73d98bb99005016f0a1db622c7dea7307430a49a","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Oman","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd65e2c5b33efac4dd37747f1bcf42be3b926ad8b90a7b2583ad8d6735ab9546d","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Syria","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0cf809512818a77fa5e24d2dae493e719bce8b29874a6c5028c6f87ee3e89188","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Lebanon","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8ba9cf22dfd7099fd690ff26b5e19c5196d15052499d40675b44ccab7e3d92bd","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: India","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3234c731428b2f90c162b2c12befe9c546a1e642f73a656e17c57b0828c83e23","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Spain","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6feb3f3f4e5070d0dce3096eac8221609c443d32109829f826dcf2203e29bdfa","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: France","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd8bcb5b0ffd711fa906cafc2ce0c39efb70fe8d3bf8a66f95f98745806007a5a","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Germany","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb2e9fe3317d13af689d59d2c60d42c94a67452920bdb6957b0a4a7cc1142590e","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Poland","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb512f5af702ac93f2e7dfd10468de2bb1607904d61ff7893504bb8a77e4340f5","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Italy","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x644a5f1db5d550baed9170aac587bb856dc49a6381f954ac921606835722c466","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Hungary","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfc3ea0145600f9f9b285522cbcae304537b8c3b37efe289bd1e774647dc7022b","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Ukraine","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc763058db53c7f43f8248584ac188526527cbfb6cb8ff61ed3fd2db2c088809a","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Azerbaijan","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xac3eee7378ac73e87a07547e950d38d4c1b864c5bab2c027191fc466586311cd","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Armenia","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6a40e2240f580f68eacd86e2d5c63c830ad094fd774cf5f8301dc9387843eb6c","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Georgia","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x51624114b09e9a27c17ee9111b10506d6b210e30bbea2f6437d240eb9bdfc526","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: UK","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5bb0e552d6f091014a59af8bbe5b7e86ba2d0a4dcfcb509f0e66a48184e96519","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Jordan","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x724d7eaffc5b26082105d7a9aebd6b729fe0e87368b8d7e5ea7a9926b3077ad0","connectedTitle":"Iran military action against ___ by April 30?: Bahrain","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcdb852f150cda6dec55b2267bb6780b4fe6d35198ab7331cbed654f800d29f20","connectedTitle":"Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2","connectedTitle":"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x82114f9f05c4cffee7ea17db47367339620aa7b59d3e321f4613471c74ac860f","connectedTitle":"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8a4e2896a318755e419acbeb8f5896ce06715fd2e5ebf35c27602a51b1a891b0","connectedTitle":"Gulf State military action against Iran by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5d37825716832a4a54f89450932e89510f26cf4be59aeec3149d2c49e5fdf44d","connectedTitle":"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?: April 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa","connectedTitle":"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?: December 31","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead","connectedTitle":"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?: June 30","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6c013e0e10d2ff82a7abb928879919fcc3cbe90fb2c1d8f26c5d44c9f5aac6fd","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Un","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb970a2b9e332cbf0aa386c8928b94c3b164bb02c4831053963291dc16cf01dc7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Ca","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3d5b2a72c8dd2742bfe72b7bfea5f6da16725623e009e0871666bec0b36dc3b6","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: In","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x09640c8f13940eb7cd86696f89c67925564ec9aac139bc3c1b9913c6202f9671","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Pa","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb0dc25ce8888cc89c2639d3b1c4d53aeb81afcbeae79d2450fdd8a6db384223f","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Fr","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1c4647c26f80117304be0ca52e261d178bc8d1a1f8fe7145c411235ecd11686c","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Ge","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xba03932ff1d4aec87ab8e09aeba07fde43a035c706b141158d64d64abafd900b","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Ne","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8ee833cddfaed8154a3c19daeba5d88e44c0e7102ac1cb40e50516daa12837c3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Gr","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb54eb55f93109e7f456610f8f58f3eb7cc40f3898062ea1f8cc54ff29d40fbb3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: It","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"0x325d0ee18895109bd0e6127dea6c589e2644b1635a8b9e7f5c7909378a51ad5f","connectedTitle":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Ja","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:iran_crisis","groupLabel":"Iran / Hormuz crisis"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanm","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?: Gaza","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?: Hait","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?: Le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?: Liby","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?: Rus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?: So","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?: Suda","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?: Syri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?: Uk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?: Yeme","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:07:37.247Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1808.9152423690632,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:07:45.096Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2134.74994618016,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:23:45.906Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1810.3942067385378,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:37:44.512Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2134.91731628884,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:52:53.771Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1810.5293925005835,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:08:00.744Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2135.4195841191,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:22:47.520Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1810.955359643624,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:22:56.046Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2136.1614591894163,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:37:57.977Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1811.5913024404847,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T14:52:58.227Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2136.9916936982722,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T15:07:44.684Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1812.2954193692706,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T15:37:47.265Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2137.247280320132,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T16:23:20.929Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1812.6476831270772,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T18:37:50.146Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2138.2462516811192,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T19:07:44.902Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1813.4204330733264,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:37:57.337Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2138.9100847335053,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:52:46.442Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1813.9156103081916,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:22:45.033Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2139.4942786767688,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:37:57.129Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1814.4110580456527,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T00:52:45.076Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2140.3271063600964,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T01:07:48.787Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1815.117369034295,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T02:37:47.121Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2140.9120747191414,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:22:47.929Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1816.3275243314042,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:37:54.914Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2142.5805887569163,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T19:40:54.332Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2603.345496043365,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:55:32.345Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3360.5837287901513,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+6c executable edge (no)","IY 3445%","288 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 2.25)","price shifted 44% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6","reason":"Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democ"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANIMPORTS-27FEB01-T5000000","reason":"Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?: i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH","reason":"Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20U.S.%20State%20Department%20issue%20a%20level%203%20or%20lower%20warn","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2845}