{"ticker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for South Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":15,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":10,"spread":7,"volume":527.7,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":523,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":207,"iyYes":5699.7462844190295,"iyNo":5.451983904747717,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":0.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":66,"askDepthUsd":2555,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T03:56:15.739Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic R","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?: Gaza","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?: Hait","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?: Le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?: Liby","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanm","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?: Rus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?: So","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?: Suda","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?: Syri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UGA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?: Uga","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?: Uk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?: Yeme","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:55:28.051Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2923.557507872737,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T06:10:35.742Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3712.650985378258,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T13:30:56.404Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7654.808169694064,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T19:06:39.026Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5056.174159172732,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:20:55.436Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7690.223934505177,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T21:05:50.005Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5101.680579031019,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T20:31:15.405Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7832.172119481679,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T02:46:38.900Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2518.0690351634285,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T22:15:37.479Z","priceCents":2,"iy":8193.604544621587,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T22:30:53.024Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5456.913426118586,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 5700%","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 2.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","reason":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC","reason":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","reason":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20U.S.%20State%20Department%20issue%20a%20level%203%20or%20lower%20warn","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":162}