{"ticker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?","description":"If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Yemen after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":12,"spread":9,"volume":2427,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2193,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk","thesisSlug":"russia-escalates-ukraine","thesisPrice":4,"edge":3,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-03T06:04:03.694Z","firstDetectedPrice":12}],"indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":4643.9669091944115,"iyNo":4.442098223270242,"cri":32.333,"ee":3,"eeSource":"regime","las":3,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.68,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.45,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":1104,"askDepthUsd":699,"volume24h":0,"sfEdgeCents":3,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T01:58:27.354Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanm","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?: Gaza","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?: Hait","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?: Le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?: Liby","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?: Rus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?: So","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SSUD","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SUD","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?: Suda","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?: Syri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?: Uk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:52:49.752Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2587.242488229632,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T05:37:43.631Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3268.986054565198,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T18:52:50.312Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2593.289233081919,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T19:07:44.902Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2138.4061737674715,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T21:22:46.664Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2594.2981553735817,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:37:54.914Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3282.2511146914458,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T03:51:13.481Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4538.282182323452,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4644%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 3.00)","price drifted 67% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG","reason":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA","reason":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ","reason":"Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20U.S.%20State%20Department%20issue%20a%20level%203%20or%20lower%20warn","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1915}