{"ticker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will there be more than 10  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?","description":"If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":82,"bestBid":82,"bestAsk":92,"spread":10,"volume":397.74,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":326.28,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":37.112567671123685,"iyNo":770.200324137764,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.122,"cvr":null,"overround":1.88,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"observability":"low","eventType":"weather","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T07:36:11.710Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T12","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 12  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 12","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T14","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 14  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 14","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T16","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 16  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 16","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T18","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 18  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 18","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T20","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 20  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T25","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 25  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 25","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T30","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 30  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:00:53.144Z","priceCents":62,"iy":260.15172259986184,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:06:47.289Z","priceCents":61,"iy":249.39711761227542,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:40:20.547Z","priceCents":62,"iy":260.46690217263694,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:45:15.531Z","priceCents":61,"iy":249.6981808985658,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:35:15.279Z","priceCents":62,"iy":260.51019938297185,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:40:32.019Z","priceCents":61,"iy":249.74078107116307,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:05:17.245Z","priceCents":62,"iy":260.5820133236516,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:10:16.895Z","priceCents":61,"iy":249.80853435262844,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:20:27.597Z","priceCents":65,"iy":296.7824900207279,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:10:15.936Z","priceCents":66,"iy":310.37191032429166,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:35:16.172Z","priceCents":67,"iy":324.6478258087522,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:40:22.380Z","priceCents":66,"iy":310.4004642735379,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:00:28.955Z","priceCents":67,"iy":324.67200559941386,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:25:16.266Z","priceCents":68,"iy":339.8406007921764,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:30:17.180Z","priceCents":67,"iy":324.7018797258032,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:50:15.997Z","priceCents":68,"iy":339.8674051548109,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T15:20:54.756Z","priceCents":69,"iy":357.0007008185287,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T15:26:08.717Z","priceCents":68,"iy":340.8381817862229,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T03:05:44.750Z","priceCents":69,"iy":357.7694788327892,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T03:10:44.540Z","priceCents":68,"iy":341.5721677859739,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:55:22.107Z","priceCents":69,"iy":358.54790447720046,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:05:31.525Z","priceCents":68,"iy":342.3198972543794,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:45:15.929Z","priceCents":69,"iy":359.52849732648406,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:50:25.395Z","priceCents":68,"iy":343.2515798976829,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:15:12.822Z","priceCents":69,"iy":359.8278655499643,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:20:12.467Z","priceCents":68,"iy":343.53587832241556,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:05:35.733Z","priceCents":69,"iy":359.9490283019838,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:10:35.597Z","priceCents":68,"iy":343.6530793088171,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:00:33.807Z","priceCents":71,"iy":396.06632701094406,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:00:33.079Z","priceCents":73,"iy":438.0342986856339,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:10:24.510Z","priceCents":74,"iy":462.41021007222224,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:40:53.402Z","priceCents":75,"iy":489.63056367880233,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:45:30.001Z","priceCents":76,"iy":517.5149135335934,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:30:30.215Z","priceCents":75,"iy":491.53835794765894,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:50:59.993Z","priceCents":76,"iy":519.1699868092644,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T14:36:02.334Z","priceCents":77,"iy":553.9265915707373,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T22:50:25.467Z","priceCents":79,"iy":626.2520697701492,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T22:55:27.388Z","priceCents":80,"iy":665.9004250816413,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T23:00:37.408Z","priceCents":81,"iy":709.7193745827566,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T23:05:25.598Z","priceCents":83,"iy":812.8124679717811,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T23:15:17.522Z","priceCents":82,"iy":758.4315645381421,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T23:20:16.038Z","priceCents":85,"iy":943.4320858135484,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T03:35:43.949Z","priceCents":77,"iy":557.8232804732676,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T15:20:37.257Z","priceCents":82,"iy":760.7599363940637,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T04:05:35.822Z","priceCents":78,"iy":593.518948201869,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T04:10:34.451Z","priceCents":82,"iy":762.6231586714813,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:45:48.684Z","priceCents":83,"iy":818.5207510343295,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:05:32.106Z","priceCents":82,"iy":765.833538033243,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:25:20.148Z","priceCents":78,"iy":596.5201941047799,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:30:30.121Z","priceCents":82,"iy":766.4830999823807,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 74c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T10","marketTitle":"Will there be more than 10  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":74},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T12","reason":"Will there be more than 12  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T14","reason":"Will there be more than 14  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T16","reason":"Will there be more than 16  Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20there%20be%20more%20than%2010%20%20Atlantic%20hurricanes%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2187}